Hyatt Hotels Stock Price Prediction

H Stock  USD 159.62  1.22  0.76%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Hyatt Hotels' the stock price is under 69. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 29th of March 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hyatt, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

69

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Hyatt Hotels stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Hyatt Hotels shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Hyatt Hotels' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Hyatt Hotels and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Hyatt Hotels' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hyatt Hotels, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Hyatt Hotels' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.91)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.74
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.58
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.41
Wall Street Target Price
158.24
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Hyatt Hotels based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Hyatt stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Hyatt Hotels over a specific investment horizon. Using Hyatt Hotels hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hyatt Hotels from the perspective of Hyatt Hotels response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Hyatt Hotels using Hyatt Hotels' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Hyatt using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Hyatt Hotels' stock price.

Hyatt Hotels Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Hyatt Hotels' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Hyatt. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Hyatt Hotels stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Hyatt Hotels may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Hyatt Hotels and may potentially protect profits, hedge Hyatt Hotels with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
121.6038
Short Percent
0.1131
Short Ratio
4.72
Shares Short Prior Month
3.9 M
50 Day MA
142.9624

Hyatt Hotels Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Hyatt Hotels' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Hyatt. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Hyatt can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Hyatt Hotels. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Hyatt Hotels' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Hyatt Hotels.

Hyatt Hotels Implied Volatility

    
  20.82  
Hyatt Hotels' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hyatt Hotels stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hyatt Hotels' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hyatt Hotels stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hyatt Hotels' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Hyatt Hotels. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hyatt Hotels to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hyatt because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Hyatt Hotels after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 159.62  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Hyatt contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Hyatt Hotels will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.3% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Hyatt Hotels trading at USD 159.62, that is roughly USD 2.08 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Hyatt Hotels' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Hyatt Hotels options at the current volatility level of 20.82%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Hyatt Hotels Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Hyatt Stock please use our How to Invest in Hyatt Hotels guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hyatt Hotels' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
143.66163.74165.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
156.51158.36160.20
Details
22 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
114.14125.43139.23
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.320.902.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hyatt Hotels. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hyatt Hotels' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hyatt Hotels' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hyatt Hotels.

Hyatt Hotels After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Hyatt Hotels at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hyatt Hotels or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hyatt Hotels, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Hyatt Hotels Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Hyatt Hotels' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hyatt Hotels' historical news coverage. Hyatt Hotels' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 157.77 and 161.47, respectively. We have considered Hyatt Hotels' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
159.62
157.77
Downside
159.62
After-hype Price
161.47
Upside
Hyatt Hotels is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hyatt Hotels is based on 3 months time horizon.

Hyatt Hotels Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hyatt Hotels is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hyatt Hotels backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hyatt Hotels, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.36 
1.86
  0.01 
  0.04 
12 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
159.62
159.62
0.00 
4,650  
Notes

Hyatt Hotels Hype Timeline

As of March 29, 2024 Hyatt Hotels is listed for 159.62. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Hyatt is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.36%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hyatt Hotels is about 1508.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 159.58. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Hyatt Hotels was currently reported as 34.59. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.24. Hyatt Hotels last dividend was issued on the 27th of February 2024. Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days.
Check out Hyatt Hotels Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Hyatt Stock please use our How to Invest in Hyatt Hotels guide.

Hyatt Hotels Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Hyatt Hotels' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hyatt Hotels' future price movements. Getting to know how Hyatt Hotels rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hyatt Hotels may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Hyatt Hotels Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hyatt price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hyatt using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hyatt charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Hyatt Hotels Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Hyatt Hotels stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hyatt Hotels, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hyatt Hotels based on analysis of Hyatt Hotels hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hyatt Hotels's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hyatt Hotels's related companies.
 2021 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0034360.0030920.002805
Price To Sales Ratio3.292.041.52

Story Coverage note for Hyatt Hotels

The number of cover stories for Hyatt Hotels depends on current market conditions and Hyatt Hotels' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hyatt Hotels is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hyatt Hotels' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Hyatt Hotels Short Properties

Hyatt Hotels' future price predictability will typically decrease when Hyatt Hotels' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hyatt Hotels often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hyatt Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hyatt Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments930 M
When determining whether Hyatt Hotels offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Hyatt Hotels' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hyatt Hotels Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hyatt Hotels Stock:
Check out Hyatt Hotels Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Hyatt Stock please use our How to Invest in Hyatt Hotels guide.
Note that the Hyatt Hotels information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Hyatt Hotels' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

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Is Hyatt Hotels' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hyatt Hotels. If investors know Hyatt will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hyatt Hotels listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.91)
Dividend Share
0.45
Earnings Share
2.04
Revenue Per Share
63.579
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.131
The market value of Hyatt Hotels is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hyatt that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hyatt Hotels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hyatt Hotels' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hyatt Hotels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hyatt Hotels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hyatt Hotels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hyatt Hotels is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hyatt Hotels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.