Hamilton Stock Price Prediction

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HBB -- USA Stock  

Report: 29th of July 2020  

Hamilton Beach Brands stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Hamilton Beach shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Hamilton Beach stock future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hamilton Beach Brands, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Please check Hamilton Beach Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Hamilton Beach based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Hamilton stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Hamilton Beach over a specific investment horizon. Using Hamilton Beach hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hamilton Beach Brands from the perspective of Hamilton Beach response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. Hamilton Beach Interest Coverage is expected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Interest Coverage was at 12.39. The current year Calculated Tax Rate is expected to grow to 34.47, whereas Long Term Debt to Equity is expected to decline to 0.56.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Hamilton Beach. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hamilton Beach to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hamilton because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Hamilton Beach after-hype prediction price

 = 
10.95
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.851.851.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
6.0712.2218.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
4.9511.1017.25
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
15.0015.0015.00
Details

Hamilton Beach After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Hamilton Beach at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hamilton Beach or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Hamilton Beach, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Hamilton Beach Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
11.35
6th of July 2020
10.95
After-hype Price
17.10
Upside
Hamilton Beach is slightly risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hamilton Beach Brands is based on 3 months time horizon.

Hamilton Beach Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.37  6.15  0.24   0.07  7 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.3510.952.14 
946.15  

Hamilton Beach Hype Timeline

On the 6th of July Hamilton Beach Brands is traded for 11.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.24 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Hamilton is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 10.95. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -2.14% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Hamilton Beach is about 3186.53% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 11.42. About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Hamilton Beach was currently reported as 4.07. The company recorded loss per share of 0.25. Hamilton Beach Brands last dividend was issued on the 29th of May 2020. Considering the 30-days investment horizon, the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Please check Hamilton Beach Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Hamilton Beach Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Hamilton Beach Brands(0.65) 7 per month 5.32  0.0285  12.36 (8.99)  30.40 
LG Display Co 0.13 4 per month 3.19 (0.0106)  4.91 (5.02)  19.28 
Emerson Radio(0.02) 4 per month 3.79 (0.07)  5.34 (8.15)  20.12 
Mohawk Group Holdings 1.20 8 per month 6.85  0.17  21.55 (12.15)  76.77 
GoPro Inc(0.02) 10 per month 4.29  0.16  9.09 (6.21)  24.60 
Guitammer CO 0.00 0 per month 5.24  0.0046  6.98 (11.54)  66.67 
Turtle Beach 0.20 8 per month 4.10  0.23  11.97 (4.93)  32.61 
IRobot 0.44 8 per month 1.84  0.26  8.69 (4.52)  18.19 
KYOCERA CORP 0.54 4 per month 2.93 (0.06)  4.53 (5.39)  16.07 
Koss Corporation 0.11 3 per month 4.82  0.1  13.90 (9.09)  53.25 

Hamilton Beach Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hamilton stock price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hamilton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hamilton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Cycle Indicators
Math Operators
Math Transform
Momentum Indicators
Overlap Studies
Pattern Recognition
Price Transform
Statistic Functions
Volatility Indicators
Volume Indicators
Percentage Price Oscillator
Minus Directional Movement
Rate of change ratio 100 scale
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
Momentum
Rate of change
Plus Directional Movement
Aroon
Chande Momentum Oscillator
Directional Movement Index

About Hamilton Beach Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Hamilton Beach stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hamilton Beach Brands, already reflect all publically available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'text-book' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns on his or her portfolios. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BlackBerry Limited based on analysis of Hamilton Beach hews, social hype, and general headline patterns together with widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Hamilton Beach's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hamilton Beach's related companies.
 2017 2018 2019 2020 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.430.530.640.56
Interest Coverage20.839.8612.3917.26

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Latest Perspective on Hamilton Beach

Please check Hamilton Beach Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
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