Intuitive Surgical Stock Price Prediction
| ISRG Stock | USD 377.36 7.44 1.93% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Intuitive Surgical stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Intuitive Surgical shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Intuitive Surgical's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Intuitive Surgical and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Intuitive Surgical's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Intuitive Surgical, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Intuitive Surgical's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.857 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.46 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.25 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.32 | Wall Street Target Price 414.15 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Intuitive Surgical based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Intuitive stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Intuitive Surgical over a specific investment horizon. Using Intuitive Surgical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Intuitive Surgical from the perspective of Intuitive Surgical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Intuitive Surgical using Intuitive Surgical's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Intuitive using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Intuitive Surgical's stock price.
Intuitive Surgical Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Intuitive Surgical's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Intuitive. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Intuitive Surgical stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Intuitive Surgical may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Intuitive Surgical and may potentially protect profits, hedge Intuitive Surgical with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 332.1695 | Short Percent 0.0097 | Short Ratio 2.13 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.6 M | 50 Day MA 387.927 |
Intuitive Surgical Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Intuitive Surgical's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Intuitive. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Intuitive can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Intuitive Surgical. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Intuitive Surgical's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Intuitive Surgical.
Intuitive Surgical Implied Volatility | 93.39 |
Intuitive Surgical's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Intuitive Surgical stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Intuitive Surgical's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Intuitive Surgical stock will not fluctuate a lot when Intuitive Surgical's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Intuitive Surgical. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Intuitive Surgical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Intuitive because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Intuitive Surgical after-hype prediction price | USD 376.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Intuitive contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Intuitive Surgical will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 5.84% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Intuitive Surgical trading at USD 377.36, that is roughly USD 22.03 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Intuitive Surgical's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Intuitive Surgical options at the current volatility level of 93.39%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Intuitive |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intuitive Surgical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intuitive Surgical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Intuitive Surgical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Intuitive Surgical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Intuitive Surgical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Intuitive Surgical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Intuitive Surgical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Intuitive Surgical's historical news coverage. Intuitive Surgical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 375.57 and 378.41, respectively. We have considered Intuitive Surgical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Intuitive Surgical is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Intuitive Surgical is based on 3 months time horizon.
Intuitive Surgical Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Intuitive Surgical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Intuitive Surgical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Intuitive Surgical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.41 | 0.37 | 0.01 | 11 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
377.36 | 376.99 | 0.10 |
|
Intuitive Surgical Hype Timeline
Intuitive Surgical is currently traded for 377.36. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.37, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Intuitive is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 376.99. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 34.14%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Intuitive Surgical is about 1542.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 377.35. About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.02. Intuitive Surgical had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 3:1 split on the 5th of October 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Intuitive Surgical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Intuitive Surgical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Intuitive Surgical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Intuitive Surgical's future price movements. Getting to know how Intuitive Surgical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Intuitive Surgical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ENSG | The Ensign Group | 0.78 | 11 per month | 1.12 | 0 | 2.38 | (2.33) | 7.13 | |
| SEM | Select Medical Holdings | (0.1) | 8 per month | 1.41 | 0.01 | 2.43 | (2.34) | 12.75 | |
| EHC | Encompass Health Corp | (0.71) | 10 per month | 0.70 | 0.14 | 2.76 | (1.43) | 7.95 | |
| EHAB | Enhabit | 0.07 | 7 per month | 2.97 | (0) | 5.48 | (4.79) | 27.98 | |
| PNTG | Pennant Group | (0.05) | 10 per month | 1.56 | 0.16 | 3.45 | (3.21) | 13.54 | |
| NHC | National HealthCare | (0.84) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.18 | (2.67) | 7.84 | |
| CCEL | CryoCell International | 0.21 | 2 per month | 2.93 | 0.08 | 7.79 | (6.04) | 23.27 |
Intuitive Surgical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Intuitive price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Intuitive using various technical indicators. When you analyze Intuitive charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Intuitive Surgical Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Intuitive Surgical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Intuitive Surgical, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Intuitive Surgical based on analysis of Intuitive Surgical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Intuitive Surgical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Intuitive Surgical's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 50.03 | 55.26 | 64.94 | 77.08 | PTB Ratio | 10.71 | 8.49 | 8.9 | 4.9 |
Story Coverage note for Intuitive Surgical
The number of cover stories for Intuitive Surgical depends on current market conditions and Intuitive Surgical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Intuitive Surgical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Intuitive Surgical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
View All Premium Stories
Intuitive Surgical Short Properties
Intuitive Surgical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Intuitive Surgical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Intuitive Surgical often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Intuitive Surgical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intuitive Surgical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 357.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.2 B |
Check out Intuitive Surgical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Intuitive Stock please use our How to Invest in Intuitive Surgical guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Complementary Tools for Intuitive Stock analysis
When running Intuitive Surgical's price analysis, check to measure Intuitive Surgical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intuitive Surgical is operating at the current time. Most of Intuitive Surgical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intuitive Surgical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intuitive Surgical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intuitive Surgical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings | |
| Sync Your Broker Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors. | |
| Portfolio Rebalancing Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets | |
| Cryptocurrency Center Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency | |
| USA ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA | |
| Sectors List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities | |
| Risk-Return Analysis View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume | |
| Performance Analysis Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation | |
| Crypto Correlations Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins | |
| Sign In To Macroaxis Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules | |
| Technical Analysis Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data | |
| Pattern Recognition Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges | |
| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk |
Is Intuitive Surgical's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Intuitive Surgical. If investors know Intuitive will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Intuitive Surgical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.857 | Earnings Share 5.02 | Revenue Per Share 20.285 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.165 | Return On Assets 0.0777 |
The market value of Intuitive Surgical is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Intuitive that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Intuitive Surgical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Intuitive Surgical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Intuitive Surgical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Intuitive Surgical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Intuitive Surgical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Intuitive Surgical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Intuitive Surgical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.