Lamb Weston Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| LW Stock | USD 81.00 0.71 0.88% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
17
Oversold | Overbought |
Lamb Weston Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Lamb Weston shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Lamb Weston's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lamb Weston and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lamb Weston's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lamb Weston Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lamb Weston's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.55 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.25 | Wall Street Target Price 111.71 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.45 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Lamb Weston based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Lamb stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Lamb Weston over a specific investment horizon. Using Lamb Weston hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lamb Weston Holdings from the perspective of Lamb Weston response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lamb Weston using Lamb Weston's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lamb using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lamb Weston's stock price.
Lamb Weston Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Lamb Weston's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Lamb. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Lamb Weston stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Lamb Weston may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Lamb Weston and may potentially protect profits, hedge Lamb Weston with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 99.5767 | Short Percent 0.0299 | Short Ratio 2.53 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.2 M | 50 Day MA 98.0772 |
Lamb Weston Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Lamb Weston's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lamb. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lamb can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lamb Weston Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lamb Weston's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lamb Weston.
Lamb Weston Implied Volatility | 229.82 |
Lamb Weston's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lamb Weston Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lamb Weston's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lamb Weston stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lamb Weston's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Lamb Weston. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lamb Weston to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lamb because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lamb Weston after-hype prediction price | USD 80.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Lamb contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Lamb Weston Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 14.36% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Lamb Weston trading at USD 81.0, that is roughly USD 11.63 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Lamb Weston's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Lamb Weston Holdings options at the current volatility level of 229.82%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Lamb |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lamb Weston's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lamb Weston After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lamb Weston at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lamb Weston or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lamb Weston, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lamb Weston Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lamb Weston's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lamb Weston's historical news coverage. Lamb Weston's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 77.89 and 83.59, respectively. We have considered Lamb Weston's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lamb Weston is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lamb Weston Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lamb Weston Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lamb Weston is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lamb Weston backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lamb Weston, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.43 | 2.85 | 0.44 | 0.10 | 9 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
81.00 | 80.74 | 0.56 |
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Lamb Weston Hype Timeline
As of April 19, 2024 Lamb Weston Holdings is listed for 81.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.44, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Lamb is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 80.74 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.56%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.43%. The volatility of related hype on Lamb Weston is about 1270.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 81.10. The company generated the yearly revenue of 5.35 B. Reported Net Income was 200.9 M with gross profit of 832 M. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Lamb Weston Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lamb Weston Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lamb Weston's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lamb Weston's future price movements. Getting to know how Lamb Weston's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lamb Weston may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GGII | Green Globe International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 10.01 | 0.04 | 16.67 | (14.29) | 120.00 | |
| GNLN | Greenlane Holdings | (0.03) | 3 per month | 5.24 | 0.09 | 11.76 | (10.87) | 42.40 | |
| XXII | 22nd Century Group | (0.32) | 8 per month | 9.34 | 0 | 6.91 | (13.51) | 180.71 | |
| CBDW | 1606 Corp | 1.92 | 15 per month | 14.34 | 0.01 | 23.21 | (22.89) | 105.80 | |
| PHJMF | PT Hanjaya Mandala | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.53 | 0.01 | 20.00 | (16.67) | 48.57 | |
| PYYX | Pyxus International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.57 | 0.12 | 23.00 | (11.76) | 79.21 | |
| JAPAY | Japan Tobacco ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.78 | (0.07) | 1.39 | (1.31) | 3.19 |
Lamb Weston Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lamb price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lamb using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lamb charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lamb Weston Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lamb Weston stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lamb Weston Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lamb Weston based on analysis of Lamb Weston hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lamb Weston's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lamb Weston's related companies. | 2019 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.009238 | 0.0135 | 0.0128 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.96 | 2.37 | 1.84 |
Story Coverage note for Lamb Weston
The number of cover stories for Lamb Weston depends on current market conditions and Lamb Weston's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lamb Weston is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lamb Weston's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lamb Weston Short Properties
Lamb Weston's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lamb Weston's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lamb Weston Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lamb Weston's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lamb Weston's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 145.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 304.8 M |
Check out Lamb Weston Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Complementary Tools for Lamb Stock analysis
When running Lamb Weston's price analysis, check to measure Lamb Weston's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lamb Weston is operating at the current time. Most of Lamb Weston's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lamb Weston's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lamb Weston's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lamb Weston to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Lamb Weston's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lamb Weston. If investors know Lamb will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lamb Weston listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Dividend Share 1.2 | Earnings Share 7.51 | Revenue Per Share 45.099 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.163 |
The market value of Lamb Weston Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lamb that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lamb Weston's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lamb Weston's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lamb Weston's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lamb Weston's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lamb Weston's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lamb Weston is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lamb Weston's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.