Insulet Stock Price Prediction

PODD Stock  USD 171.40  2.22  1.31%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Insulet's share price is approaching 37 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Insulet, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

37

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Insulet stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Insulet shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Insulet's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Insulet and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Insulet's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Insulet, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Insulet's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.043
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.43
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.99
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.79
Wall Street Target Price
237.57
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Insulet based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Insulet stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Insulet over a specific investment horizon. Using Insulet hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Insulet from the perspective of Insulet response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Insulet using Insulet's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Insulet using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Insulet's stock price.

Insulet Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Insulet's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Insulet. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Insulet stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Insulet may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Insulet and may potentially protect profits, hedge Insulet with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
200.2334
Short Percent
0.0472
Short Ratio
2.54
Shares Short Prior Month
2.7 M
50 Day MA
183.0714

Insulet Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Insulet's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Insulet. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Insulet can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Insulet. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Insulet's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Insulet.

Insulet Implied Volatility

    
  44.86  
Insulet's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Insulet stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Insulet's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Insulet stock will not fluctuate a lot when Insulet's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Insulet. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Insulet to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Insulet because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Insulet after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 169.05  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Insulet contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Insulet will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.8% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Insulet trading at USD 171.4, that is roughly USD 4.81 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Insulet's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Insulet options at the current volatility level of 44.86%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Insulet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Insulet Stock refer to our How to Trade Insulet Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Insulet's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
154.26208.67211.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
166.52168.98171.44
Details
22 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
234.73257.94286.31
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.280.380.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Insulet. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Insulet's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Insulet's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Insulet.

Insulet After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Insulet at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Insulet or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Insulet, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Insulet Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Insulet's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Insulet's historical news coverage. Insulet's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 166.59 and 171.51, respectively. We have considered Insulet's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
171.40
166.59
Downside
169.05
After-hype Price
171.51
Upside
Insulet is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Insulet is based on 3 months time horizon.

Insulet Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Insulet is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Insulet backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Insulet, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.30 
2.46
  2.35 
 0.00  
11 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
171.40
169.05
1.37 
31.38  
Notes

Insulet Hype Timeline

Insulet is at this time traded for 171.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -2.35, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Insulet is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 169.05. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 31.38%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.37%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.3%. The volatility of related hype on Insulet is about 36900.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 171.40. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Insulet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Insulet Stock refer to our How to Trade Insulet Stock guide.

Insulet Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Insulet's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Insulet's future price movements. Getting to know how Insulet rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Insulet may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Insulet Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Insulet price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Insulet using various technical indicators. When you analyze Insulet charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Insulet Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Insulet stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Insulet, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Insulet based on analysis of Insulet hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Insulet's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Insulet's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0013056.63E-47.63E-47.25E-4
Price To Sales Ratio16.3915.659.4116.16

Story Coverage note for Insulet

The number of cover stories for Insulet depends on current market conditions and Insulet's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Insulet is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Insulet's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Insulet Short Properties

Insulet's future price predictability will typically decrease when Insulet's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Insulet often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Insulet's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Insulet's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding73.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments704.2 M
When determining whether Insulet is a strong investment it is important to analyze Insulet's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Insulet's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Insulet Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Insulet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Insulet Stock refer to our How to Trade Insulet Stock guide.
Note that the Insulet information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Insulet's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Complementary Tools for Insulet Stock analysis

When running Insulet's price analysis, check to measure Insulet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Insulet is operating at the current time. Most of Insulet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Insulet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Insulet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Insulet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Odds Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Portfolio Dashboard
Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
AI Investment Finder
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities
Is Insulet's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Insulet. If investors know Insulet will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Insulet listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.043
Earnings Share
2.95
Revenue Per Share
24.331
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.379
Return On Assets
0.0609
The market value of Insulet is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Insulet that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Insulet's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Insulet's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Insulet's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Insulet's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Insulet's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Insulet is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Insulet's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.