Sprouts Farmers Market Stock Price Prediction

SFM Stock  USD 64.48  0.44  0.69%   
The value of RSI of Sprouts Farmers' share price is above 70 as of now. This usually implies that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Sprouts, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

76

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Sprouts Farmers Market stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Sprouts Farmers shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Sprouts Farmers' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Sprouts Farmers and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Sprouts Farmers' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sprouts Farmers Market, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Sprouts Farmers' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.176
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.97
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.92
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.13
Wall Street Target Price
54.64
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Sprouts Farmers based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Sprouts stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Sprouts Farmers over a specific investment horizon. Using Sprouts Farmers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sprouts Farmers Market from the perspective of Sprouts Farmers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sprouts Farmers using Sprouts Farmers' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sprouts using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sprouts Farmers' stock price.

Sprouts Farmers Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Sprouts Farmers' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Sprouts. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Sprouts Farmers stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Sprouts Farmers may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Sprouts Farmers and may potentially protect profits, hedge Sprouts Farmers with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
45.2447
Short Percent
0.2292
Short Ratio
9.68
Shares Short Prior Month
14.2 M
50 Day MA
56.8042

Sprouts Farmers Market Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Sprouts Farmers' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sprouts. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sprouts can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sprouts Farmers Market. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sprouts Farmers' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sprouts Farmers.

Sprouts Farmers Implied Volatility

    
  23.21  
Sprouts Farmers' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sprouts Farmers Market stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sprouts Farmers' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sprouts Farmers stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sprouts Farmers' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Sprouts Farmers. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sprouts Farmers to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sprouts because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Sprouts Farmers after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 64.48  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sprouts contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sprouts Farmers Market will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.45% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Sprouts Farmers trading at USD 64.48, that is roughly USD 0.94 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sprouts Farmers' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sprouts Farmers Market options at the current volatility level of 23.21%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Sprouts Farmers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sprouts Farmers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
58.0371.2073.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
61.8163.7265.62
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
32.4635.6739.59
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.981.001.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sprouts Farmers. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sprouts Farmers' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sprouts Farmers' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sprouts Farmers Market.

Sprouts Farmers After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sprouts Farmers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sprouts Farmers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sprouts Farmers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sprouts Farmers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sprouts Farmers' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sprouts Farmers' historical news coverage. Sprouts Farmers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 62.57 and 66.39, respectively. We have considered Sprouts Farmers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
64.48
64.48
After-hype Price
66.39
Upside
Sprouts Farmers is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sprouts Farmers Market is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sprouts Farmers Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sprouts Farmers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sprouts Farmers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sprouts Farmers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.47 
1.91
  0.54 
  0.03 
6 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
64.48
64.48
0.00 
167.54  
Notes

Sprouts Farmers Hype Timeline

On the 29th of March Sprouts Farmers Market is traded for 64.48. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.54, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Sprouts is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 167.54%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.47%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sprouts Farmers is about 2728.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 64.45. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.39. Sprouts Farmers Market had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:5 split on the 12th of February 2013. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Sprouts Farmers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Sprouts Farmers Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sprouts Farmers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sprouts Farmers' future price movements. Getting to know how Sprouts Farmers rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sprouts Farmers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Sprouts Farmers Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sprouts price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sprouts using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sprouts charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Sprouts Farmers Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Sprouts Farmers stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sprouts Farmers Market, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sprouts Farmers based on analysis of Sprouts Farmers hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sprouts Farmers's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sprouts Farmers's related companies.
 2012 2023 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02450.002648
Price To Sales Ratio3.150.73

Story Coverage note for Sprouts Farmers

The number of cover stories for Sprouts Farmers depends on current market conditions and Sprouts Farmers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sprouts Farmers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sprouts Farmers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Sprouts Farmers Short Properties

Sprouts Farmers' future price predictability will typically decrease when Sprouts Farmers' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sprouts Farmers Market often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sprouts Farmers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sprouts Farmers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding103.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments201.8 M
When determining whether Sprouts Farmers Market is a strong investment it is important to analyze Sprouts Farmers' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Sprouts Farmers' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Sprouts Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Sprouts Farmers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Sprouts Farmers Market information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Sprouts Farmers' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.

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When running Sprouts Farmers' price analysis, check to measure Sprouts Farmers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sprouts Farmers is operating at the current time. Most of Sprouts Farmers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sprouts Farmers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sprouts Farmers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sprouts Farmers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Sprouts Farmers' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sprouts Farmers. If investors know Sprouts will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sprouts Farmers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.176
Earnings Share
2.5
Revenue Per Share
66.72
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.077
Return On Assets
0.0756
The market value of Sprouts Farmers Market is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sprouts that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sprouts Farmers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sprouts Farmers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sprouts Farmers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sprouts Farmers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sprouts Farmers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sprouts Farmers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sprouts Farmers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.