Sl Green Realty Stock Price Prediction
SLG Stock | USD 53.74 3.31 6.56% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
65
Oversold | Overbought |
SL Green Realty stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of SL Green shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of SL Green's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of SL Green and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from SL Green's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SL Green Realty, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting SL Green's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.98) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.64) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.26) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.97) | Wall Street Target Price 42.35 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of SL Green based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The SLG stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on SL Green over a specific investment horizon. Using SL Green hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SL Green Realty from the perspective of SL Green response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards SL Green using SL Green's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards SLG using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of SL Green's stock price.
SL Green Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in SL Green's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards SLG. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of SL Green stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long SL Green may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about SL Green and may potentially protect profits, hedge SL Green with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 38.8693 | Short Percent 0.3148 | Short Ratio 10.36 | Shares Short Prior Month 13.5 M | 50 Day MA 47.4884 |
SL Green Realty Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to SL Green's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in SLG. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding SLG can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around SL Green Realty. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of SL Green's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about SL Green.
SL Green Implied Volatility | 51.83 |
SL Green's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of SL Green Realty stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if SL Green's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that SL Green stock will not fluctuate a lot when SL Green's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in SL Green. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SL Green to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SLG because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
SL Green after-hype prediction price | USD 53.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current SLG contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that SL Green Realty will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.24% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With SL Green trading at USD 53.74, that is roughly USD 1.74 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating SL Green's daily price movement you should consider acquiring SL Green Realty options at the current volatility level of 51.83%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
SLG |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SL Green's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SL Green After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SL Green at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SL Green or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SL Green, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
SL Green Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SL Green's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SL Green's historical news coverage. SL Green's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 50.79 and 56.17, respectively. We have considered SL Green's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SL Green is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SL Green Realty is based on 3 months time horizon.
SL Green Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SL Green is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SL Green backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SL Green, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 2.69 | 0.26 | 0.13 | 12 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
53.74 | 53.48 | 0.48 |
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SL Green Hype Timeline
On the 28th of March SL Green Realty is traded for 53.74. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.13. SLG is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 53.48. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.48%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.34%. The volatility of related hype on SL Green is about 729.84%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 53.87. About 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.98. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. SL Green Realty has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.95. The entity recorded a loss per share of 9.12. The firm last dividend was issued on the 27th of March 2024. SL Green had 97:100 split on the 24th of January 2022. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 12 days. Check out SL Green Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.SL Green Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SL Green's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SL Green's future price movements. Getting to know how SL Green rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SL Green may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
MRT | Marti Technologies | (0.05) | 9 per month | 3.27 | 0.11 | 9.23 | (5.81) | 28.44 | |
EVTZF | Evertz Technologies Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.34 | (0.06) | 1.82 | (2.71) | 11.52 | |
MOS | The Mosaic | 0.20 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.09 | (3.00) | 9.24 | |
NUVL | Nuvalent | 2.57 | 11 per month | 2.27 | 0.01 | 4.04 | (4.21) | 10.11 | |
CALT | Calliditas Therapeutics | (0.07) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 6.52 | (4.29) | 18.03 | |
DGII | Digi International | 0.39 | 9 per month | 1.75 | 0.08 | 3.62 | (3.09) | 19.12 | |
ECVT | Ecovyst | (0.46) | 8 per month | 1.81 | 0.02 | 2.70 | (2.73) | 10.51 |
SL Green Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SLG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SLG using various technical indicators. When you analyze SLG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About SL Green Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of SL Green stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SL Green Realty, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SL Green based on analysis of SL Green hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SL Green's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SL Green's related companies. 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0518 | 0.11 | 0.0801 | 0.0841 | Price To Sales Ratio | 6.2 | 2.77 | 3.15 | 4.26 |
Story Coverage note for SL Green
The number of cover stories for SL Green depends on current market conditions and SL Green's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SL Green is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SL Green's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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SL Green Short Properties
SL Green's future price predictability will typically decrease when SL Green's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SL Green Realty often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SL Green's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SL Green's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 63.8 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 335.5 M |
Check out SL Green Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Complementary Tools for SLG Stock analysis
When running SL Green's price analysis, check to measure SL Green's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SL Green is operating at the current time. Most of SL Green's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SL Green's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SL Green's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SL Green to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is SL Green's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SL Green. If investors know SLG will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SL Green listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.98) | Dividend Share 3.229 | Earnings Share (9.12) | Revenue Per Share 13.12 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
The market value of SL Green Realty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SLG that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SL Green's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SL Green's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SL Green's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SL Green's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SL Green's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SL Green is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SL Green's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.