Container Store Group Stock Price Prediction
| TCS Stock | USD 0.92 0.04 4.55% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Container Store Group stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Container Store shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Container Store's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Container Store and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Container Store's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Container Store Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Container Store based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Container stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Container Store over a specific investment horizon. Using Container Store hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Container Store Group from the perspective of Container Store response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Container Store. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Container Store to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Container because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Container Store after-hype prediction price | USD 1.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Container |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Container Store's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Container Store After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Container Store at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Container Store or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Container Store, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Container Store Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Container Store's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Container Store's historical news coverage. Container Store's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 8.24, respectively. We have considered Container Store's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Container Store is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Container Store Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Container Store Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Container Store is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Container Store backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Container Store, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.59 | 7.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.92 | 1.04 | 18.18 |
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Container Store Hype Timeline
On the 19th of April Container Store Group is traded for 0.92. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Container is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.04 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 18.18%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.59%. The volatility of related hype on Container Store is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.92. The company has 539.17 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.24, which is OK given its current industry classification. Container Store Group has a current ratio of 1.13, demonstrating that it may have difficulties to pay its financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Container Store until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Container Store's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Container Store Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Container to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Container Store's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Container Store Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Container Store Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Container Store's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Container Store's future price movements. Getting to know how Container Store's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Container Store may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TLYS | Tillys Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 2.57 | (4.01) | 9.81 | |
| BGFV | Big 5 Sporting | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 4.17 | (5.60) | 17.85 | |
| SPWH | Sportsmans | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.41 | (5.93) | 27.32 | |
| HIBB | Hibbett Sports | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.50 | 0.02 | 3.78 | (4.05) | 12.41 | |
| NDLS | Noodles Company | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.36) | 3.33 | (8.57) | 15.31 |
Container Store Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Container price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Container using various technical indicators. When you analyze Container charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Container Store Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Container Store stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Container Store Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Container Store based on analysis of Container Store hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Container Store's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Container Store's related companies. Story Coverage note for Container Store
The number of cover stories for Container Store depends on current market conditions and Container Store's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Container Store is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Container Store's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Container Store Short Properties
Container Store's future price predictability will typically decrease when Container Store's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Container Store Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Container Store's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Container Store's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7 M |
Check out Container Store Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Container Store Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Container Store's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Complementary Tools for Container Stock analysis
When running Container Store's price analysis, check to measure Container Store's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Container Store is operating at the current time. Most of Container Store's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Container Store's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Container Store's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Container Store to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Container Store's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Container Store. If investors know Container will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Container Store listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Container Store Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Container that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Container Store's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Container Store's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Container Store's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Container Store's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Container Store's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Container Store is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Container Store's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.