Target Stock Price Prediction

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TGT -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: 31st of July 2020  

Target stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Target shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Target stock future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Target, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Additionally, take a look at Target Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Target based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Target stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Target over a specific investment horizon. Using Target hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Target from the perspective of Target response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. Target Dividends per Basic Common Share is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Target reported Dividends per Basic Common Share of 1.71 in 2019. Enterprise Value over EBIT is likely to grow to 130.12 in 2020, whereas Payout Ratio is likely to drop (0.87)  in 2020.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Target. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Target to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Target because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Target after-hype prediction price

 = 
117.58
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Earnings
Estimates (12)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.654.965.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
105.93134.58136.47
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
111.00132.19150.00
Details

Target After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Target at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Target or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Target, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Target Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
117.91
9th of July 2020
115.69
Downside
117.58
After-hype Price
119.47
Upside
Target is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Target is based on 3 months time horizon.

Target Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.21  1.89  0.12   0.00  11 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
117.91117.580.10 
337.50  

Target Hype Timeline

On the 9th of July Target is traded for 117.91. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Target is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 117.58. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.1% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Target is about 18900.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 117.91. About 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.4. Target last dividend was issued on the 19th of May 2020. The entity had 2:1 split on 20th of July 2000. Considering the 30-days investment horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days.
Additionally, take a look at Target Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Target Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Barnes Noble 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.41)  1.05 (1.05)  3.16 
Spectrum Brands Holdings 0.90 5 per month 3.49  0.07  6.17 (5.78)  18.73 
Sysco(1.78) 8 per month 3.50  0.09  6.69 (6.11)  21.12 
Vipshop Holdings Limited(0.22) 10 per month 2.88  0.15  7.51 (4.82)  19.47 
Target(0.56) 11 per month 1.34  0.10  3.77 (2.33)  10.40 
Rite Aid 1.00 9 per month 5.25  0.11  9.90 (7.37)  33.94 
Sally Beauty Holdings(0.09) 5 per month 3.98  0.18  10.21 (7.42)  27.94 
SuperValu 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.09  0.50 (0.87)  66.11 
J C Penney 0.22 10 per month 14.94  0.0474  28.74 (29.50)  129.51 
Sprouts Farmers Market 0.43 10 per month 2.05  0.10  4.81 (3.79)  12.11 

Target Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Target stock price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Target using various technical indicators. When you analyze Target charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Cycle Indicators
Math Operators
Math Transform
Momentum Indicators
Overlap Studies
Pattern Recognition
Price Transform
Statistic Functions
Volatility Indicators
Volume Indicators
MACD with controllable MA type
Williams R percentage
Stochastic
Money Flow Index
Plus Directional Indicator
Rate of change percentage
Plus Directional Movement
Chande Momentum Oscillator
Absolute Price Oscillator
Ultimate Oscillator

About Target Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Target stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Target, already reflect all publically available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'text-book' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns on his or her portfolios. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BlackBerry Limited based on analysis of Target hews, social hype, and general headline patterns together with widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Target's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Target's related companies.
 2010 2014 2020 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.780.960.98
Interest Coverage3.419.777.84
Additionally, take a look at Target Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Macroaxis is not a registered investment advisor or broker/dealer. All investments, including stocks, funds, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies, are speculative and involve substantial risk of loss. We encourage our investors to invest carefully. Much of our information is derived directly from data published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies which we believe are reliable, but are without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our statements or recommendations. Also, note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments carry risk, and all investment decisions of an individual remain the responsibility of that individual. There is no guarantee that systems, indicators, or signals will result in profits or that they will not result in losses. All investors are advised to fully understand all risks associated with any investing they choose to do. Hypothetical or simulated performance is not indicative of future results. We make no representations or warranties that any investor will, or is likely to, achieve profits similar to those shown because hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. For more information please visit our terms and condition page