United Rentals Stock Price Prediction
| URI Stock | USD 666.74 8.07 1.20% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
United Rentals stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of United Rentals shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of United Rentals' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of United Rentals and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from United Rentals' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with United Rentals, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting United Rentals' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.098 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 8.18 | EPS Estimate Current Year 43.26 | EPS Estimate Next Year 47.12 | Wall Street Target Price 644.71 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of United Rentals based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The United stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on United Rentals over a specific investment horizon. Using United Rentals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of United Rentals from the perspective of United Rentals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards United Rentals using United Rentals' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards United using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of United Rentals' stock price.
United Rentals Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in United Rentals' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards United. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of United Rentals stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long United Rentals may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about United Rentals and may potentially protect profits, hedge United Rentals with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 530.975 | Short Percent 0.041 | Short Ratio 4.48 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.7 M | 50 Day MA 679.4342 |
United Rentals Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to United Rentals' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in United. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding United can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around United Rentals. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of United Rentals' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about United Rentals.
United Rentals Implied Volatility | 57.11 |
United Rentals' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of United Rentals stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if United Rentals' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that United Rentals stock will not fluctuate a lot when United Rentals' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in United Rentals. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in United Rentals to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying United because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
United Rentals after-hype prediction price | USD 671.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current United contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that United Rentals will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.57% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With United Rentals trading at USD 666.74, that is roughly USD 23.8 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating United Rentals' daily price movement you should consider acquiring United Rentals options at the current volatility level of 57.11%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
United |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of United Rentals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
United Rentals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of United Rentals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in United Rentals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of United Rentals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
United Rentals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting United Rentals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on United Rentals' historical news coverage. United Rentals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 600.07 and 673.54, respectively. We have considered United Rentals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
United Rentals is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United Rentals is based on 3 months time horizon.
United Rentals Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as United Rentals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading United Rentals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with United Rentals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 2.33 | 4.47 | 0.23 | 9 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
666.74 | 671.21 | 0.67 |
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United Rentals Hype Timeline
On the 16th of April 2024 United Rentals is traded for 666.74. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 4.47, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.23. United is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 671.21 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 17.2%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.67%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.33%. The volatility of related hype on United Rentals is about 337.68%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 666.97. The company reported the last year's revenue of 14.33 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 2.42 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 5.02 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out United Rentals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.United Rentals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to United Rentals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict United Rentals' future price movements. Getting to know how United Rentals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how United Rentals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| R | Ryder System | 1.58 | 10 per month | 1.70 | (0.01) | 1.93 | (1.88) | 8.60 | |
| CAR | Avis Budget Group | 1.49 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 4.99 | (5.35) | 28.89 | |
| FPAY | FlexShopper | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.80 | (8.72) | 23.47 | |
| GSL | Global Ship Lease | (0.30) | 13 per month | 1.97 | 0.03 | 2.22 | (2.21) | 12.71 |
United Rentals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine United price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for United using various technical indicators. When you analyze United charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About United Rentals Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of United Rentals stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as United Rentals, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of United Rentals based on analysis of United Rentals hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to United Rentals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to United Rentals's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0103 | 0.0119 | 0.0113 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.48 | 2.74 | 2.88 |
Story Coverage note for United Rentals
The number of cover stories for United Rentals depends on current market conditions and United Rentals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that United Rentals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about United Rentals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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United Rentals Short Properties
United Rentals' future price predictability will typically decrease when United Rentals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of United Rentals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential United Rentals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Rentals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 68.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 363 M |
Check out United Rentals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in United Stock please use our How to Invest in United Rentals guide.You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Complementary Tools for United Stock analysis
When running United Rentals' price analysis, check to measure United Rentals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Rentals is operating at the current time. Most of United Rentals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Rentals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Rentals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Rentals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is United Rentals' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Rentals. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about United Rentals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.098 | Dividend Share 5.92 | Earnings Share 35.27 | Revenue Per Share 209.318 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.131 |
The market value of United Rentals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United Rentals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United Rentals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United Rentals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United Rentals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Rentals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United Rentals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Rentals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.