Vipshop Stock Price Prediction

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VIPS -- USA Stock  

Last Earning Announcement: 31st of March 2016  

Vipshop Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Vipshop Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Vipshop Holdings stock future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Vipshop Holdings Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Also please take a look at Vipshop Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Vipshop Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Vipshop stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Vipshop Holdings over a specific investment horizon. Using Vipshop Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vipshop Holdings Limited from the perspective of Vipshop Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Vipshop Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vipshop Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vipshop because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Vipshop Holdings after-hype prediction price

 = 
22.45
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.540.560.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
17.4721.4525.43
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
10.0016.0020.00
Details

Vipshop Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Vipshop Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vipshop Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Vipshop Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Vipshop Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
22.60
10th of July 2020
22.45
After-hype Price
26.43
Upside
Vipshop Holdings is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vipshop Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Vipshop Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.67  3.98  0.15   0.07  10 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
22.6022.450.66 
1,809  

Vipshop Holdings Hype Timeline

Vipshop Holdings is at this time traded for 22.60. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.15 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Vipshop is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 22.45. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.66% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.67%. The volatility of related hype on Vipshop Holdings is about 3980.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 22.53. About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.01. Vipshop Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 10:1 split on 4th of November 2014. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days.
Also please take a look at Vipshop Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Vipshop Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Vipshop Holdings Limited(0.22) 10 per month 2.88  0.15  7.51 (4.82)  19.47 
Sysco(1.78) 8 per month 3.50  0.09  6.69 (6.11)  21.12 
Target(0.56) 11 per month 1.34  0.10  3.77 (2.33)  10.40 
Rite Aid 1.00 9 per month 5.25  0.11  9.90 (7.37)  33.94 
Barnes Noble 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.41)  1.05 (1.05)  3.16 
J C Penney 0.22 10 per month 14.94  0.0474  28.74 (29.50)  129.51 
SuperValu(0.34) 26 per month 0.00  0.09  0.50 (0.87)  66.11 
Spectrum Brands Holdings(0.26) 32 per month 3.49  0.07  6.17 (5.78)  18.73 
Sprouts Farmers Market 0.58 10 per month 2.05  0.10  4.81 (3.79)  12.11 
Sally Beauty Holdings 0.36 35 per month 3.98  0.18  10.21 (7.42)  27.94 

Vipshop Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Vipshop stock price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vipshop using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vipshop charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Cycle Indicators
Math Operators
Math Transform
Momentum Indicators
Overlap Studies
Pattern Recognition
Price Transform
Statistic Functions
Volatility Indicators
Volume Indicators
Ultimate Oscillator
Stochastic Relative Strength Index
Aroon
Relative Strength Index
Momentum
Rate of change percentage
Williams R percentage
Rate of change ratio
Average Directional Movement Index
Stochastic Fast

About Vipshop Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Vipshop Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vipshop Holdings Limited, already reflect all publically available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'text-book' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns on his or her portfolios. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BlackBerry Limited based on analysis of Vipshop Holdings hews, social hype, and general headline patterns together with widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Vipshop Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vipshop Holdings's related companies.
Also please take a look at Vipshop Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Macroaxis is not a registered investment advisor or broker/dealer. All investments, including stocks, funds, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies, are speculative and involve substantial risk of loss. We encourage our investors to invest carefully. Much of our information is derived directly from data published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies which we believe are reliable, but are without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our statements or recommendations. Also, note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments carry risk, and all investment decisions of an individual remain the responsibility of that individual. There is no guarantee that systems, indicators, or signals will result in profits or that they will not result in losses. All investors are advised to fully understand all risks associated with any investing they choose to do. Hypothetical or simulated performance is not indicative of future results. We make no representations or warranties that any investor will, or is likely to, achieve profits similar to those shown because hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. For more information please visit our terms and condition page