AptarGroup Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 96.19

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ATR -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: 30th of June 2020  

AptarGroup probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of AptarGroup performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. As of 06/03/2020, Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 30.37, while Price to Book Value is likely to drop 4.35.

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AptarGroup Target Price Odds to finish below 96.19

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 96.19  or more in 30 days
 112.98 30 days 96.19 
about 15.43
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of AptarGroup to drop to $ 96.19  or more in 30 days from now is about 15.43 (This AptarGroup probability density function shows the probability of AptarGroup Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of AptarGroup price to stay between $ 96.19  and its current price of $112.98 at the end of the 30-day period is about 80.39 .
Considering 30-days investment horizon, AptarGroup has beta of -0.3903 . This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding AptarGroup are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, AptarGroup is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1846 implying that it can potentially generate 0.1846% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 AptarGroup Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.18
β
Beta against DOW=-0.39
σ
Overall volatility
=6.09
Ir
Information ratio =0.05

AptarGroup Alerts and Suggestions

AptarGroup has very high historical volatility over the last 30 days
Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 28th of April 2020 AptarGroup paid $ 0.36 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Sale by Marc Prieur of 1583 shares of AptarGroup

AptarGroupPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out1.36%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.44
Short Percent Of Float1.53%
Float Shares63.76M
Shares Short Prior Month957.19k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day293.24k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month451.87k
Date Short Interest30th of April 2020
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.41%
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