Bjs Wholesale Club Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 36.97
| BJ Stock | USD 72.57 2.71 3.60% |
Closest to current price BJs long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
BJs |
BJs Wholesale Target Price Odds to finish below 36.97
The tendency of BJs Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 36.97 or more in 90 days |
| 72.57 | 90 days | 36.97 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BJs Wholesale to drop to $ 36.97 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This BJs Wholesale Club probability density function shows the probability of BJs Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BJs Wholesale Club price to stay between $ 36.97 and its current price of $72.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.42 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon BJs Wholesale has a beta of 0.53 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BJs Wholesale average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BJs Wholesale Club will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BJs Wholesale Club has an alpha of 0.0959, implying that it can generate a 0.0959 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BJs Wholesale Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BJs Wholesale
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BJs Wholesale Club. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BJs Wholesale's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
BJs Wholesale Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BJs Wholesale is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BJs Wholesale's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BJs Wholesale Club, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BJs Wholesale within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.1 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.73 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
BJs Wholesale Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BJs Wholesale for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BJs Wholesale Club can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reports 2.99 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.91, which may imply that the company relies heavily on debt financing. BJs Wholesale Club has a current ratio of 0.72, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist BJs Wholesale until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, BJs Wholesale's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like BJs Wholesale Club sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for BJs to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about BJs Wholesale's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 99.0% of BJs Wholesale shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Loop Capital cuts BJs Wholesale stock target by 5 |
BJs Wholesale Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BJs Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BJs Wholesale's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BJs Wholesale's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 135.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 36 M |
BJs Wholesale Technical Analysis
BJs Wholesale's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BJs Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BJs Wholesale Club. In general, you should focus on analyzing BJs Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BJs Wholesale Predictive Forecast Models
BJs Wholesale's time-series forecasting models is one of many BJs Wholesale's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BJs Wholesale's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BJs Wholesale Club
Checking the ongoing alerts about BJs Wholesale for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BJs Wholesale Club help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reports 2.99 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.91, which may imply that the company relies heavily on debt financing. BJs Wholesale Club has a current ratio of 0.72, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist BJs Wholesale until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, BJs Wholesale's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like BJs Wholesale Club sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for BJs to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about BJs Wholesale's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 99.0% of BJs Wholesale shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Loop Capital cuts BJs Wholesale stock target by 5 |
Check out BJs Wholesale Backtesting, BJs Wholesale Valuation, BJs Wholesale Correlation, BJs Wholesale Hype Analysis, BJs Wholesale Volatility, BJs Wholesale History as well as BJs Wholesale Performance. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
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When running BJs Wholesale's price analysis, check to measure BJs Wholesale's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BJs Wholesale is operating at the current time. Most of BJs Wholesale's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BJs Wholesale's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BJs Wholesale's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BJs Wholesale to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is BJs Wholesale's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BJs Wholesale. If investors know BJs will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BJs Wholesale listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.144 | Earnings Share 3.88 | Revenue Per Share 150.087 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.087 | Return On Assets 0.0781 |
The market value of BJs Wholesale Club is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BJs that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BJs Wholesale's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BJs Wholesale's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BJs Wholesale's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BJs Wholesale's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BJs Wholesale's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BJs Wholesale is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BJs Wholesale's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.