Bangkok Insurance (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 278.0
| BKI Stock | THB 291.00 2.00 0.68% |
Bangkok |
Bangkok Insurance Target Price Odds to finish over 278.0
The tendency of Bangkok Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 278.00 in 90 days |
| 291.00 | 90 days | 278.00 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bangkok Insurance to stay above 278.00 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Bangkok Insurance Public probability density function shows the probability of Bangkok Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bangkok Insurance Public price to stay between 278.00 and its current price of 291.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.86 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bangkok Insurance has a beta of 0.19 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bangkok Insurance average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bangkok Insurance Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bangkok Insurance Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Bangkok Insurance Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bangkok Insurance
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bangkok Insurance Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bangkok Insurance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bangkok Insurance Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bangkok Insurance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bangkok Insurance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bangkok Insurance Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bangkok Insurance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Bangkok Insurance Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bangkok Insurance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bangkok Insurance Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bangkok Insurance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has accumulated 805.09 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.02, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Bangkok Insurance Public has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Bangkok Insurance until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bangkok Insurance's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bangkok Insurance Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bangkok to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bangkok Insurance's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 16.0% of Bangkok Insurance shares are held by company insiders |
Bangkok Insurance Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bangkok Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bangkok Insurance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bangkok Insurance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 106.5 M |
Bangkok Insurance Technical Analysis
Bangkok Insurance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bangkok Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bangkok Insurance Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bangkok Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bangkok Insurance Predictive Forecast Models
Bangkok Insurance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bangkok Insurance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bangkok Insurance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bangkok Insurance Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bangkok Insurance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bangkok Insurance Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bangkok Insurance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has accumulated 805.09 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.02, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Bangkok Insurance Public has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Bangkok Insurance until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bangkok Insurance's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bangkok Insurance Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bangkok to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bangkok Insurance's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 16.0% of Bangkok Insurance shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Bangkok Insurance Backtesting, Bangkok Insurance Valuation, Bangkok Insurance Correlation, Bangkok Insurance Hype Analysis, Bangkok Insurance Volatility, Bangkok Insurance History as well as Bangkok Insurance Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Complementary Tools for Bangkok Stock analysis
When running Bangkok Insurance's price analysis, check to measure Bangkok Insurance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bangkok Insurance is operating at the current time. Most of Bangkok Insurance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bangkok Insurance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bangkok Insurance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bangkok Insurance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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