Ford Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

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F -- USA Stock  

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Ford probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Ford Motor performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. The current year Price to Book Value is expected to grow to 1.20. The current year Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to grow to 1,003.

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Please specify Ford time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Ford odds to be computed. Please check Ford Backtesting, Ford Valuation, Ford Correlation, Ford Hype Analysis, Ford Volatility, Ford History as well as Ford Performance.
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Ford Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 30 days
 5.85 30 days 5.85 
about 36.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ford to move above the current price in 30 days from now is about 36.94 (This Ford Motor probability density function shows the probability of Ford Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.64 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average . However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Ford will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.3564, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Ford Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.36
β
Beta against DOW=1.64
σ
Overall volatility
=0.72
Ir
Information ratio =0.12

Ford Alerts and Suggestions

Ford Motor has very high historical volatility over the last 30 days
Ford Motor has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported annual revenue of 149.88 B. Total Loss to common stockholders was (3.09 B) with gross profit before all taxes, overhead, and interest of 12.88 B.
About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

FordPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out3.11%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.60
Short Percent Of Float3.49%
Float Shares3.9B
Shares Short Prior Month146.29M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day61.6M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month90.38M
Date Short Interest15th of June 2020
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield9.85%
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