Fairfax Financial Holdings Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 315.1

FRFHFDelisted Stock  USD 1,006  3.70  0.37%   
Fairfax Financial's future price is the expected price of Fairfax Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fairfax Financial Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
  
Please specify Fairfax Financial's target price for which you would like Fairfax Financial odds to be computed.

Fairfax Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 315.1

The tendency of Fairfax Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 315.10  in 90 days
 1,006 90 days 315.10 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fairfax Financial to stay above $ 315.10  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Fairfax Financial Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Fairfax Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fairfax Financial price to stay between $ 315.10  and its current price of $1006.35 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.51 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fairfax Financial has a beta of 0.34. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fairfax Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fairfax Financial Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fairfax Financial Holdings has an alpha of 0.1261, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fairfax Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fairfax Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fairfax Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fairfax Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0041,0061,009
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
837.35840.101,107
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fairfax Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fairfax Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fairfax Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fairfax Financial.

Fairfax Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fairfax Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fairfax Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fairfax Financial Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fairfax Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.13
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.34
σ
Overall volatility
54.43
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Fairfax Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fairfax Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fairfax Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fairfax Financial is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Fairfax Financial has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years

Fairfax Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fairfax Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fairfax Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fairfax Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23.9 M

Fairfax Financial Technical Analysis

Fairfax Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fairfax Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fairfax Financial Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fairfax Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fairfax Financial Predictive Forecast Models

Fairfax Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fairfax Financial's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fairfax Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fairfax Financial

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fairfax Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fairfax Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fairfax Financial is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Fairfax Financial has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
Note that the Fairfax Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Fairfax Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

Other Consideration for investing in Fairfax Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Fairfax Financial check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Fairfax Financial's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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