Gopro Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.85

GPRO Stock  USD 2.23  0.02  0.90%   
GoPro's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on GoPro Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of GoPro based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in GoPro Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $2.0 is a CALL option contract on GoPro's common stock with a strick price of 2.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:37:20 for $0.33 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.3, and an ask price of $0.4. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 91.52. View All GoPro options

Closest to current price GoPro long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

GoPro's future price is the expected price of GoPro instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GoPro Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GoPro Backtesting, GoPro Valuation, GoPro Correlation, GoPro Hype Analysis, GoPro Volatility, GoPro History as well as GoPro Performance.
  
At this time, GoPro's Price Book Value Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 28th of March 2024, Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to 0.04, though Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to (9.51). Please specify GoPro's target price for which you would like GoPro odds to be computed.

GoPro Target Price Odds to finish over 4.85

The tendency of GoPro Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 4.85  or more in 90 days
 2.23 90 days 4.85 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GoPro to move over $ 4.85  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This GoPro Inc probability density function shows the probability of GoPro Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GoPro Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 2.23  and $ 4.85  at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.57 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.7 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, GoPro will likely underperform. Additionally GoPro Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   GoPro Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GoPro

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GoPro Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GoPro's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.235.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.115.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.042.045.23
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.695.155.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GoPro. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GoPro's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GoPro's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GoPro Inc.

GoPro Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GoPro is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GoPro's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GoPro Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GoPro within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.97
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.70
σ
Overall volatility
0.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

GoPro Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GoPro for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GoPro Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GoPro Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
GoPro Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.01 B. Net Loss for the year was (53.18 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 414.96 M.
GoPro Inc currently holds about 348.78 M in cash with (32.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.24, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from benzinga.com: GoPro Undergoes Restructuring Aims To Slash Costs With Workforce And Office Space Cuts

GoPro Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GoPro Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GoPro's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GoPro's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding153.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments246.6 M

GoPro Technical Analysis

GoPro's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GoPro Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GoPro Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing GoPro Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GoPro Predictive Forecast Models

GoPro's time-series forecasting models is one of many GoPro's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GoPro's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GoPro Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about GoPro for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GoPro Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GoPro Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
GoPro Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.01 B. Net Loss for the year was (53.18 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 414.96 M.
GoPro Inc currently holds about 348.78 M in cash with (32.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.24, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from benzinga.com: GoPro Undergoes Restructuring Aims To Slash Costs With Workforce And Office Space Cuts
When determining whether GoPro Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of GoPro's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Gopro Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Gopro Inc Stock:

Complementary Tools for GoPro Stock analysis

When running GoPro's price analysis, check to measure GoPro's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GoPro is operating at the current time. Most of GoPro's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GoPro's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GoPro's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GoPro to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is GoPro's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GoPro. If investors know GoPro will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GoPro listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.94)
Earnings Share
(0.35)
Revenue Per Share
6.557
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.08)
Return On Assets
(0.05)
The market value of GoPro Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GoPro that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GoPro's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GoPro's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GoPro's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GoPro's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GoPro's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GoPro is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GoPro's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.