Hamilton Beach Brands Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.37

HBB Stock  USD 24.58  1.45  6.27%   
Hamilton Beach's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Hamilton Beach Brands. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Hamilton Beach based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Hamilton Beach Brands over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $22.5 is a CALL option contract on Hamilton Beach's common stock with a strick price of 22.5 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.05, and an ask price of $4.2. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 131.87. View All Hamilton options

Closest to current price Hamilton long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Hamilton Beach's future price is the expected price of Hamilton Beach instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hamilton Beach Brands performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hamilton Beach Backtesting, Hamilton Beach Valuation, Hamilton Beach Correlation, Hamilton Beach Hype Analysis, Hamilton Beach Volatility, Hamilton Beach History as well as Hamilton Beach Performance.
  
At present, Hamilton Beach's Price Earnings Ratio is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Sales Ratio is expected to grow to 0.46, whereas Price Book Value Ratio is forecasted to decline to 1.58. Please specify Hamilton Beach's target price for which you would like Hamilton Beach odds to be computed.

Hamilton Beach Target Price Odds to finish over 18.37

The tendency of Hamilton Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 18.37  in 90 days
 24.58 90 days 18.37 
about 65.37
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hamilton Beach to stay above $ 18.37  in 90 days from now is about 65.37 (This Hamilton Beach Brands probability density function shows the probability of Hamilton Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hamilton Beach Brands price to stay between $ 18.37  and its current price of $24.58 at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.32 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Hamilton Beach has a beta of 0.25. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hamilton Beach average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hamilton Beach Brands will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hamilton Beach Brands has an alpha of 0.6023, implying that it can generate a 0.6 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hamilton Beach Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hamilton Beach

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hamilton Beach Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hamilton Beach's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.0624.7228.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.2417.9027.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.6825.3429.01
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.8313.0014.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hamilton Beach. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hamilton Beach's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hamilton Beach's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hamilton Beach Brands.

Hamilton Beach Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hamilton Beach is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hamilton Beach's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hamilton Beach Brands, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hamilton Beach within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.60
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.25
σ
Overall volatility
1.67
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Hamilton Beach Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hamilton Beach for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hamilton Beach Brands can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hamilton Beach appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 15th of March 2024 Hamilton Beach paid $ 0.11 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Rankin Corbin of 127310 shares of Hamilton Beach subject to Rule 16b-3

Hamilton Beach Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hamilton Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hamilton Beach's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hamilton Beach's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments15.4 M

Hamilton Beach Technical Analysis

Hamilton Beach's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hamilton Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hamilton Beach Brands. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hamilton Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hamilton Beach Predictive Forecast Models

Hamilton Beach's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hamilton Beach's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hamilton Beach's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hamilton Beach Brands

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hamilton Beach for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hamilton Beach Brands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hamilton Beach appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 15th of March 2024 Hamilton Beach paid $ 0.11 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Rankin Corbin of 127310 shares of Hamilton Beach subject to Rule 16b-3
When determining whether Hamilton Beach Brands offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Hamilton Beach's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hamilton Beach Brands Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hamilton Beach Brands Stock:
Check out Hamilton Beach Backtesting, Hamilton Beach Valuation, Hamilton Beach Correlation, Hamilton Beach Hype Analysis, Hamilton Beach Volatility, Hamilton Beach History as well as Hamilton Beach Performance.
Note that the Hamilton Beach Brands information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Hamilton Beach's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

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When running Hamilton Beach's price analysis, check to measure Hamilton Beach's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hamilton Beach is operating at the current time. Most of Hamilton Beach's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hamilton Beach's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hamilton Beach's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hamilton Beach to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hamilton Beach's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hamilton Beach. If investors know Hamilton will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hamilton Beach listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.744
Dividend Share
0.435
Earnings Share
1.8
Revenue Per Share
44.573
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.053
The market value of Hamilton Beach Brands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hamilton that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hamilton Beach's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hamilton Beach's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hamilton Beach's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hamilton Beach's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hamilton Beach's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hamilton Beach is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hamilton Beach's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.