Intuitive Surgical Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 564.25

ISRG Stock  USD 399.09  1.01  0.25%   
Intuitive Surgical's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Intuitive Surgical. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Intuitive Surgical based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Intuitive Surgical over a specific time period. For example, 2024-03-28 CALL at $400.0 is a CALL option contract on Intuitive Surgical's common stock with a strick price of 400.0 expiring on 2024-03-28. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:11:53 for $1.77 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.95, and an ask price of $2.25. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 24.36. View All Intuitive options

Closest to current price Intuitive long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Intuitive Surgical's future price is the expected price of Intuitive Surgical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Intuitive Surgical performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Intuitive Surgical Backtesting, Intuitive Surgical Valuation, Intuitive Surgical Correlation, Intuitive Surgical Hype Analysis, Intuitive Surgical Volatility, Intuitive Surgical History as well as Intuitive Surgical Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Intuitive Stock please use our How to Invest in Intuitive Surgical guide.
  
At this time, Intuitive Surgical's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Intuitive Surgical's current Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is estimated to increase to 165.96, while Price Book Value Ratio is projected to decrease to 4.90. Please specify Intuitive Surgical's target price for which you would like Intuitive Surgical odds to be computed.

Intuitive Surgical Target Price Odds to finish over 564.25

The tendency of Intuitive Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 564.25  or more in 90 days
 399.09 90 days 564.25 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intuitive Surgical to move over $ 564.25  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Intuitive Surgical probability density function shows the probability of Intuitive Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Intuitive Surgical price to stay between its current price of $ 399.09  and $ 564.25  at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.67 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.06 . This usually indicates Intuitive Surgical market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Intuitive Surgical is expected to follow. Additionally Intuitive Surgical has an alpha of 0.1504, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Intuitive Surgical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Intuitive Surgical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intuitive Surgical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intuitive Surgical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
397.79399.66401.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
360.09402.44404.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
395.58397.45399.32
Details
30 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
302.81332.76369.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Intuitive Surgical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Intuitive Surgical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Intuitive Surgical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Intuitive Surgical.

Intuitive Surgical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intuitive Surgical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intuitive Surgical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intuitive Surgical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intuitive Surgical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.15
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.06
σ
Overall volatility
22.14
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Intuitive Surgical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intuitive Surgical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intuitive Surgical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Intuitive Surgical is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Intuitive Surgical Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

Intuitive Surgical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intuitive Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intuitive Surgical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intuitive Surgical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding357.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.2 B

Intuitive Surgical Technical Analysis

Intuitive Surgical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Intuitive Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Intuitive Surgical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Intuitive Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Intuitive Surgical Predictive Forecast Models

Intuitive Surgical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Intuitive Surgical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Intuitive Surgical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Intuitive Surgical

Checking the ongoing alerts about Intuitive Surgical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Intuitive Surgical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Intuitive Surgical is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Intuitive Surgical Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends
When determining whether Intuitive Surgical is a strong investment it is important to analyze Intuitive Surgical's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Intuitive Surgical's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Intuitive Stock, refer to the following important reports:

Complementary Tools for Intuitive Stock analysis

When running Intuitive Surgical's price analysis, check to measure Intuitive Surgical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intuitive Surgical is operating at the current time. Most of Intuitive Surgical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intuitive Surgical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intuitive Surgical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intuitive Surgical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Intuitive Surgical's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Intuitive Surgical. If investors know Intuitive will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Intuitive Surgical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.857
Earnings Share
5.01
Revenue Per Share
20.285
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.165
Return On Assets
0.0777
The market value of Intuitive Surgical is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Intuitive that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Intuitive Surgical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Intuitive Surgical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Intuitive Surgical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Intuitive Surgical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Intuitive Surgical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Intuitive Surgical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Intuitive Surgical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.