Spark Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 3.33

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LOV -- USA Stock  

USD 3.84  0.25  6.96%

Spark Networks probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Spark Networks performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Spark Networks Price to Book Value is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the last year. Spark Networks reported Price to Book Value of 0.41 in 2019. Price to Sales Ratio is likely to grow to 1.03 in 2020, whereas Price to Earnings Ratio are likely to drop (3.96)  in 2020.

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Please specify Spark Networks time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Spark Networks odds to be computed. Additionally, see Spark Networks Backtesting, Spark Networks Valuation, Spark Networks Correlation, Spark Networks Hype Analysis, Spark Networks Volatility, Spark Networks History as well as Spark Networks Performance.
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Spark Networks Target Price Odds to finish over 3.33

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 3.33  in 30 days
 3.84 30 days 3.33 
about 30.76
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Spark Networks to stay above $ 3.33  in 30 days from now is about 30.76 (This Spark Networks probability density function shows the probability of Spark Networks Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Spark Networks price to stay between $ 3.33  and its current price of $3.84 at the end of the 30-day period is about 22.95 .
Considering 30-days investment horizon, Spark Networks has beta of -0.0744 indicating as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Spark Networks are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Spark Networks is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Spark Networks is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Spark Networks Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=-0.09
β
Beta against DOW=-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
=0.56
Ir
Information ratio =-0.05

Spark Networks Alerts and Suggestions

Spark Networks has very high historical volatility over the last 30 days
The company has 16.31 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.68 which is OK given its current industry classification. Spark Networks has Current Ratio of 0.39 suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due.
The entity reported last year revenue of 112.46 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (5.84 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 35.06 M.
SPARK NETWORKS IN has about 11.74 M in cash with (3.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.91.
Roughly 21.0% of Spark Networks outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
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Spark NetworksPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out0.36%
Float Shares9.38M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day61.19k
Shares Short Prior Month76.92k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month144.8k
Date Short Interest30th of April 2020
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