Lowes Companies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 130.97

LOW Stock  USD 254.73  1.40  0.55%   
Lowes Companies' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Lowes Companies. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Lowes Companies based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Lowes Companies over a specific time period. For example, 2024-03-28 CALL at $255.0 is a CALL option contract on Lowes Companies' common stock with a strick price of 255.0 expiring on 2024-03-28. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:58:24 for $0.4 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.4, and an ask price of $0.49. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 19.32. View All Lowes options

Closest to current price Lowes long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Lowes Companies' future price is the expected price of Lowes Companies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lowes Companies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lowes Companies Backtesting, Lowes Companies Valuation, Lowes Companies Correlation, Lowes Companies Hype Analysis, Lowes Companies Volatility, Lowes Companies History as well as Lowes Companies Performance.
For more information on how to buy Lowes Stock please use our How to Invest in Lowes Companies guide.
  
At this time, Lowes Companies' Price Earnings Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Book Value Ratio is likely to climb to 45.80 in 2024, whereas Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to drop 0.23 in 2024. Please specify Lowes Companies' target price for which you would like Lowes Companies odds to be computed.

Lowes Companies Target Price Odds to finish below 130.97

The tendency of Lowes Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 130.97  or more in 90 days
 254.73 90 days 130.97 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lowes Companies to drop to $ 130.97  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Lowes Companies probability density function shows the probability of Lowes Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lowes Companies price to stay between $ 130.97  and its current price of $254.73 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.36 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lowes Companies will likely underperform. Additionally Lowes Companies has an alpha of 0.0257, implying that it can generate a 0.0257 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lowes Companies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lowes Companies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lowes Companies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lowes Companies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
252.73254.06255.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
214.96216.29278.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
255.88257.20258.53
Details
36 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
220.76242.59269.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lowes Companies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lowes Companies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lowes Companies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lowes Companies.

Lowes Companies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lowes Companies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lowes Companies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lowes Companies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lowes Companies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.36
σ
Overall volatility
13.80
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Lowes Companies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lowes Companies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lowes Companies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lowes Companies has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 7th of February 2024 Lowes Companies paid $ 1.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from cnbc.com: Here are Wednesdays biggest analyst calls Apple, Nvidia, Tesla, Spotify, Marvell, Netflix, Disney, DraftKings more

Lowes Companies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lowes Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lowes Companies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lowes Companies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding584 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B

Lowes Companies Technical Analysis

Lowes Companies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lowes Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lowes Companies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lowes Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lowes Companies Predictive Forecast Models

Lowes Companies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Lowes Companies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lowes Companies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lowes Companies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lowes Companies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lowes Companies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lowes Companies has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 7th of February 2024 Lowes Companies paid $ 1.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from cnbc.com: Here are Wednesdays biggest analyst calls Apple, Nvidia, Tesla, Spotify, Marvell, Netflix, Disney, DraftKings more
When determining whether Lowes Companies is a strong investment it is important to analyze Lowes Companies' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Lowes Companies' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Lowes Stock, refer to the following important reports:

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When running Lowes Companies' price analysis, check to measure Lowes Companies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lowes Companies is operating at the current time. Most of Lowes Companies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lowes Companies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lowes Companies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lowes Companies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Lowes Companies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lowes Companies. If investors know Lowes will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lowes Companies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.118
Dividend Share
4.35
Earnings Share
13.2
Revenue Per Share
148.414
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.17)
The market value of Lowes Companies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lowes that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lowes Companies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lowes Companies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lowes Companies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lowes Companies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lowes Companies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lowes Companies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lowes Companies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.