Oeneo SA (France) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.14

SBT Stock  EUR 10.30  0.84  8.88%   
Oeneo SA's future price is the expected price of Oeneo SA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Oeneo SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Oeneo SA Backtesting, Oeneo SA Valuation, Oeneo SA Correlation, Oeneo SA Hype Analysis, Oeneo SA Volatility, Oeneo SA History as well as Oeneo SA Performance.
  
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Oeneo SA Target Price Odds to finish over 12.14

The tendency of Oeneo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 12.14  or more in 90 days
 10.30 90 days 12.14 
about 15.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oeneo SA to move over € 12.14  or more in 90 days from now is about 15.87 (This Oeneo SA probability density function shows the probability of Oeneo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oeneo SA price to stay between its current price of € 10.30  and € 12.14  at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Oeneo SA has a beta of 0.0944. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Oeneo SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Oeneo SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Oeneo SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Oeneo SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Oeneo SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oeneo SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oeneo SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.4210.3012.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.7410.6212.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.4210.3012.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.3510.2511.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Oeneo SA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Oeneo SA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Oeneo SA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Oeneo SA.

Oeneo SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oeneo SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oeneo SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oeneo SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oeneo SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.33
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.90
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Oeneo SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oeneo SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oeneo SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oeneo SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Oeneo SA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oeneo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oeneo SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oeneo SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding63.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments60.8 M

Oeneo SA Technical Analysis

Oeneo SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oeneo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oeneo SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oeneo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Oeneo SA Predictive Forecast Models

Oeneo SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oeneo SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oeneo SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Oeneo SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Oeneo SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oeneo SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oeneo SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Check out Oeneo SA Backtesting, Oeneo SA Valuation, Oeneo SA Correlation, Oeneo SA Hype Analysis, Oeneo SA Volatility, Oeneo SA History as well as Oeneo SA Performance.
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Complementary Tools for Oeneo Stock analysis

When running Oeneo SA's price analysis, check to measure Oeneo SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oeneo SA is operating at the current time. Most of Oeneo SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oeneo SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oeneo SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oeneo SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Oeneo SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oeneo SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oeneo SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.