Sprouts Farmers Market Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 24.4

SFM Stock  USD 64.04  0.13  0.20%   
Sprouts Farmers' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Sprouts Farmers Market. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Sprouts Farmers based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Sprouts Farmers Market over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $65.0 is a CALL option contract on Sprouts Farmers' common stock with a strick price of 65.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 13:44:53 for $0.82 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.95, and an ask price of $1.15. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 22.09. View All Sprouts options

Closest to current price Sprouts long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Sprouts Farmers' future price is the expected price of Sprouts Farmers instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sprouts Farmers Market performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sprouts Farmers Backtesting, Sprouts Farmers Valuation, Sprouts Farmers Correlation, Sprouts Farmers Hype Analysis, Sprouts Farmers Volatility, Sprouts Farmers History as well as Sprouts Farmers Performance.
  
At this time, Sprouts Farmers' Price Book Value Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 28th of March 2024, Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to 4.05, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.69. Please specify Sprouts Farmers' target price for which you would like Sprouts Farmers odds to be computed.

Sprouts Farmers Target Price Odds to finish over 24.4

The tendency of Sprouts Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 24.40  in 90 days
 64.04 90 days 24.40 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sprouts Farmers to stay above $ 24.40  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Sprouts Farmers Market probability density function shows the probability of Sprouts Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sprouts Farmers Market price to stay between $ 24.40  and its current price of $64.04 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Sprouts Farmers has a beta of 0.75. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sprouts Farmers average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sprouts Farmers Market will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sprouts Farmers Market has an alpha of 0.3313, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sprouts Farmers Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sprouts Farmers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sprouts Farmers Market. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sprouts Farmers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.1365.0566.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.5353.4570.44
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
32.4635.6739.59
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.981.001.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sprouts Farmers. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sprouts Farmers' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sprouts Farmers' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sprouts Farmers Market.

Sprouts Farmers Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sprouts Farmers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sprouts Farmers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sprouts Farmers Market, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sprouts Farmers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.33
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.75
σ
Overall volatility
6.12
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Sprouts Farmers Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sprouts Farmers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sprouts Farmers Market can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Returns At Sprouts Farmers Market Appear To Be Weighed Down

Sprouts Farmers Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sprouts Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sprouts Farmers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sprouts Farmers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding103.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments201.8 M

Sprouts Farmers Technical Analysis

Sprouts Farmers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sprouts Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sprouts Farmers Market. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sprouts Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sprouts Farmers Predictive Forecast Models

Sprouts Farmers' time-series forecasting models is one of many Sprouts Farmers' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sprouts Farmers' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sprouts Farmers Market

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sprouts Farmers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sprouts Farmers Market help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Returns At Sprouts Farmers Market Appear To Be Weighed Down
When determining whether Sprouts Farmers Market is a strong investment it is important to analyze Sprouts Farmers' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Sprouts Farmers' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Sprouts Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Sprouts Farmers Backtesting, Sprouts Farmers Valuation, Sprouts Farmers Correlation, Sprouts Farmers Hype Analysis, Sprouts Farmers Volatility, Sprouts Farmers History as well as Sprouts Farmers Performance.
Note that the Sprouts Farmers Market information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Sprouts Farmers' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

Complementary Tools for Sprouts Stock analysis

When running Sprouts Farmers' price analysis, check to measure Sprouts Farmers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sprouts Farmers is operating at the current time. Most of Sprouts Farmers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sprouts Farmers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sprouts Farmers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sprouts Farmers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Sprouts Farmers' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sprouts Farmers. If investors know Sprouts will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sprouts Farmers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.176
Earnings Share
2.5
Revenue Per Share
66.72
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.077
Return On Assets
0.0756
The market value of Sprouts Farmers Market is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sprouts that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sprouts Farmers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sprouts Farmers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sprouts Farmers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sprouts Farmers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sprouts Farmers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sprouts Farmers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sprouts Farmers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.