Invesco Government Fund Chance Of Distress
| AGVYX Fund | USD 6.81 0.02 0.29% |
Invesco |
Invesco Government Fund Mutual Fund chance of distress Analysis
Invesco Government's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Invesco Government Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 22% |
Most of Invesco Government's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Invesco Government Fund is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Invesco Government probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Invesco Government odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Invesco Government Fund financial health.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Invesco Government Fund has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 22.0%. This is much higher than that of the Invesco family and significantly higher than that of the Nontraditional Bond category. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States funds is notably lower than that of the firm.
Invesco Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Invesco Government's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the mutual funds which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Invesco Government could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Invesco Government by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Invesco Government is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy among similar funds.
Invesco Fundamentals
| Total Asset | 564.29 M | |||
| Annual Yield | 0 % | |||
| Year To Date Return | 1.34 % | |||
| One Year Return | 4.48 % | |||
| Three Year Return | (0.77) % | |||
| Five Year Return | (0.15) % | |||
| Ten Year Return | 0.25 % | |||
| Net Asset | 504.65 M | |||
| Minimum Initial Investment | 1 K | |||
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.02 | |||
| Cash Position Weight | 5.49 % | |||
| Equity Positions Weight | 0.81 % | |||
| Bond Positions Weight | 88.40 % |
About Invesco Government Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Invesco Government Fund's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Invesco Government using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Invesco Government Fund based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Invesco Government in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Invesco Government's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Invesco Government options trading.
Pair Trading with Invesco Government
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Invesco Government position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Invesco Government will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Invesco Mutual Fund
| 0.64 | OARDX | Oppenheimer Rising | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | AMHYX | Invesco High Yield | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Invesco Government could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Invesco Government when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Invesco Government - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Invesco Government Fund to buy it.
The correlation of Invesco Government is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Invesco Government moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Invesco Government moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Invesco Government can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Invesco Government Fund. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.