Blue Bird Corp Stock Piotroski F Score

BLBD Stock  USD 34.22  1.79  4.97%   
This module uses fundamental data of Blue Bird to approximate its Piotroski F score. Blue Bird F Score is determined by combining nine binary scores representing 3 distinct fundamental categories of Blue Bird Corp. These three categories are profitability, efficiency, and funding. Some research analysts and sophisticated value traders use Piotroski F Score to find opportunities outside of the conventional market and financial statement analysis.They believe that some of the new information about Blue Bird financial position does not get reflected in the current market share price suggesting a possibility of arbitrage. Check out Blue Bird Altman Z Score, Blue Bird Correlation, Blue Bird Valuation, as well as analyze Blue Bird Alpha and Beta and Blue Bird Hype Analysis.
  
At present, Blue Bird's Net Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Long Term Debt is expected to grow to about 127.7 M, whereas Short and Long Term Debt is forecasted to decline to about 14 M. At present, Blue Bird's Days Sales Outstanding is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Book Value Per Share is expected to grow to 0.01, whereas Dividend Yield is forecasted to decline to 0.
At this time, it appears that Blue Bird's Piotroski F Score is Healthy. Although some professional money managers and academia have recently criticized Piotroski F-Score model, we still consider it an effective method of predicting the state of the financial strength of any organization that is not predisposed to accounting gimmicks and manipulations. Using this score on the criteria to originate an efficient long-term portfolio can help investors filter out the purely speculative stocks or equities playing fundamental games by manipulating their earnings..
5.0
Piotroski F Score - Healthy
Current Return On Assets

Negative

Focus
Change in Return on Assets

Increased

Focus
Cash Flow Return on Assets

Positive

Focus
Current Quality of Earnings (accrual)

Improving

Focus
Asset Turnover Growth

Increase

Focus
Current Ratio Change

Decrease

Focus
Long Term Debt Over Assets Change

Higher Leverage

Focus
Change In Outstending Shares

Decrease

Focus
Change in Gross Margin

No Change

Focus

Blue Bird Piotroski F Score Drivers

The critical factor to consider when applying the Piotroski F Score to Blue Bird is to make sure Blue is not a subject of accounting manipulations and runs a healthy internal audit department. So, if Blue Bird's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back. Below are the main accounts that are used in the Piotroski F Score model. By analyzing the historical trends of the mains drivers, investors can determine if Blue Bird's financial numbers are properly reported.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Asset Turnover3.163.12
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.120.14
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities135.7 M264.1 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total203.1 M170.4 M
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets308.7 M480.4 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets143.5 M271.5 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Blue Bird Corp F Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to project the various growth rates. Understanding the correlation between Blue Bird's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Blue Bird in a much-optimized way.

About Blue Bird Piotroski F Score

F-Score is one of many stock grading techniques developed by Joseph Piotroski, a professor of accounting at the Stanford University Graduate School of Business. It was published in 2002 under the paper titled Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers. Piotroski F Score is based on binary analysis strategy in which stocks are given one point for passing 9 very simple fundamental tests, and zero point otherwise. According to Mr. Piotroski's analysis, his F-Score binary model can help to predict the performance of low price-to-book stocks.

Book Value Per Share

0.007716

At present, Blue Bird's Book Value Per Share is projected to slightly grow based on the last few years of reporting.

About Blue Bird Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Blue Bird Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Blue Bird using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Blue Bird Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Blue Bird in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Blue Bird's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Blue Bird options trading.

Pair Trading with Blue Bird

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Blue Bird position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Blue Bird will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Blue Bird could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Blue Bird when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Blue Bird - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Blue Bird Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Blue Bird is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Blue Bird moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Blue Bird Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Blue Bird can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Blue Bird Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Blue Bird's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Blue Bird's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Blue Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Blue Bird Altman Z Score, Blue Bird Correlation, Blue Bird Valuation, as well as analyze Blue Bird Alpha and Beta and Blue Bird Hype Analysis.
Note that the Blue Bird Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Blue Bird's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

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When running Blue Bird's price analysis, check to measure Blue Bird's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blue Bird is operating at the current time. Most of Blue Bird's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blue Bird's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blue Bird's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blue Bird to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Blue Bird's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blue Bird. If investors know Blue will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blue Bird listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.351
Earnings Share
1.9
Revenue Per Share
37.832
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.348
Return On Assets
0.1571
The market value of Blue Bird Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blue that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blue Bird's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blue Bird's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blue Bird's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blue Bird's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blue Bird's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Blue Bird is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blue Bird's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.