Facebook Probability Of Bankruptcy

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FB -- USA Stock  

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Facebook Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Facebook Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Facebook Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Facebook balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Please check Facebook Piotroski F Score and Facebook Altman Z Score analysis.

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Facebook Average Assets are expected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Average Assets were at 121.07 Billion. The current year Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA is expected to grow to about 33 B, whereas Net Income Per Employee is expected to decline to about 348.5 K.

Facebook Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

For stocks, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100 indicating the actual probability the firm will be distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2017 2018 2019 2020 (projected)
Consolidated Income15.93 B22.11 B18.48 B19.94 B
Direct Expenses5.45 B9.36 B12.77 B13.78 B
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Facebook Probability Of Bankruptcy

3%
Our calculation of Facebook probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Facebook odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Facebook financial health.

Facebook Distress Driver Correlations

About Probability Of Bankruptcy

Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12 or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty to meet its current financial obligations towards its creditors or to deliver on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions on a daily bases from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns including short term and long term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenues patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

  Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income

Based on the latest financial disclosure Facebook has Probability Of Bankruptcy of 3.0%. This is 94.19% lower than that of the Communication Services sector, and significantly higher than that of Internet Content & Information industry, The Probability Of Bankruptcy for all stocks is 92.47% higher than the company.

Facebook Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

  Probability Of Bankruptcy 
      Facebook Comparables 
Facebook is rated below average in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

FacebookCurrent Valuation Drivers

2014201520162017201820192020 (projected)
Revenue Per Employee1.36 M1.41 M1.62 M1.62 M1.57 M1.42 M1.31 M
Average Assets25.99 B45.5 B58.11 B76.52 B92.26 B121.07 B130.63 B
Earnings before Tax4.91 B6.19 B12.52 B20.59 B25.36 B24.81 B26.77 B
Average Equity23.1 B40.65 B52.71 B68.56 B80.37 B92.58 B73.55 B
Enterprise Value208.79 B291.8 B325.56 B505.56 B367.09 B578.47 B482.85 B
Free Cash Flow5.5 B7.8 B11.62 B17.48 B15.36 B21.21 B22.89 B
Invested Capital12.55 B21.42 B32.53 B52.58 B60.7 B89.96 B97.06 B
Tangible Asset Value18.06 B28.14 B44.3 B64.42 B77.74 B113.77 B122.75 B
Working Capital11.97 B19.73 B31.53 B44.8 B43.46 B51.17 B55.21 B
Calculated Tax Rate40.1240.4618.3822.6312.8125.535.17
PPandE Turnover2.993.643.713.862.912.363.13
Receivables Turnover8.958.468.418.288.328.277.88
Operating Margin40.0634.7244.9649.744.6233.9334.44
Return on Investment19.1115.4324.0130.2631.4425.9123.6
Cash Flow Per Share1.953.025.578.3310.2612.7313.74
Revenue to Assets0.310.360.430.480.570.530.55
Quick Ratio9.0410.9111.6312.646.944.285.92
Book Value per Share13.8115.7820.6825.6329.1135.4138.2
Current Ratio9.411.2511.9712.927.194.44.52
Debt to Equity Ratio0.160.110.120.0970.140.320.26
EBITDA Margin0.490.450.540.580.530.430.51

Facebook Fundamentals

About Facebook Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Facebook's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Facebook using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Facebook based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way. Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
 2017 2018 2019 2020 (projected)
Accounts Payable380 M820 M1.36 B1.47 B
Receivables5.83 B7.59 B9.52 B10.27 B


 
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