Mcdonalds Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

MCD Stock  USD 278.62  4.01  1.42%   
McDonalds' threat of distress is less than 5% at the present time. It is unlikely to undergo any financial hardship in the next 24 months. McDonalds' Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting McDonalds Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the McDonalds balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out McDonalds Piotroski F Score and McDonalds Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade McDonalds Stock refer to our How to Trade McDonalds Stock guide.
  

McDonalds Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

McDonalds' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Gross Profit12.6B13.2B14.2B8.7B
Total Revenue23.2B23.2B25.5B18.3B

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current McDonalds Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 5%  
Most of McDonalds' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, McDonalds is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of McDonalds probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting McDonalds odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of McDonalds financial health.
Is McDonalds' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of McDonalds. If investors know McDonalds will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about McDonalds listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.083
Dividend Share
6.23
Earnings Share
11.56
Revenue Per Share
35.024
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.081
The market value of McDonalds is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of McDonalds that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of McDonalds' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is McDonalds' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because McDonalds' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect McDonalds' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between McDonalds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if McDonalds is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, McDonalds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

McDonalds Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for McDonalds is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of McDonalds Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since McDonalds' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of McDonalds' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of McDonalds' interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, McDonalds has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 5.0%. This is 87.92% lower than that of the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector and 84.77% lower than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 87.45% higher than that of the company.

McDonalds Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses McDonalds' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of McDonalds could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing McDonalds by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
McDonalds is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

McDonalds ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, McDonalds' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to McDonalds' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

McDonalds Fundamentals

About McDonalds Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze McDonalds's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of McDonalds using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of McDonalds based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
McDonalds Corporation operates and franchises McDonalds restaurants in the United States and internationally. McDonalds Corporation was founded in 1940 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. McDonalds Corp operates under Restaurants classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 100000 people.

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When determining whether McDonalds is a strong investment it is important to analyze McDonalds' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact McDonalds' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding McDonalds Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out McDonalds Piotroski F Score and McDonalds Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade McDonalds Stock refer to our How to Trade McDonalds Stock guide.
Note that the McDonalds information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other McDonalds' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

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When running McDonalds' price analysis, check to measure McDonalds' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy McDonalds is operating at the current time. Most of McDonalds' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of McDonalds' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move McDonalds' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of McDonalds to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is McDonalds' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of McDonalds. If investors know McDonalds will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about McDonalds listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.083
Dividend Share
6.23
Earnings Share
11.56
Revenue Per Share
35.024
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.081
The market value of McDonalds is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of McDonalds that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of McDonalds' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is McDonalds' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because McDonalds' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect McDonalds' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between McDonalds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if McDonalds is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, McDonalds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.