National Fuel Gas Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| NFG Stock | USD 53.93 0.10 0.19% |
National |
National Fuel Gas Company chance of financial distress Analysis
National Fuel's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current National Fuel Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 27% |
Most of National Fuel's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, National Fuel Gas is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of National Fuel probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting National Fuel odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of National Fuel Gas financial health.
Is National Fuel's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Fuel. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Fuel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of National Fuel Gas is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Fuel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Fuel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Fuel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Fuel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National Fuel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National Fuel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Fuel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, National Fuel Gas has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 27.0%. This is 44.01% lower than that of the Gas Utilities sector and 37.37% lower than that of the Utilities industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 32.21% higher than that of the company.
National Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses National Fuel's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of National Fuel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing National Fuel by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.National Fuel is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
National Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.15 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.054 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.22 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.40 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 7.6 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 92.13 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.24 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 75.58 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.67 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 11.98 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.54 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 2.40 X | ||||
| Revenue | 2.17 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.26 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 1.18 B | ||||
| Net Income | 476.87 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 55.45 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 4.73 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 2.67 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 1.52 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.53 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 34.46 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.24 B | ||||
| Short Ratio | 5.48 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 4.77 X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.05 X | ||||
| Target Price | 64.0 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 2.24 K | ||||
| Beta | 0.65 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 4.96 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 8.28 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 1.89 B | ||||
| Working Capital | (391.88 M) | ||||
| Current Asset | 306.07 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 303.74 M | ||||
| Annual Yield | 0.04 % | ||||
| Five Year Return | 3.40 % | ||||
| Net Asset | 8.28 B | ||||
| Last Dividend Paid | 1.96 |
About National Fuel Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze National Fuel Gas's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of National Fuel using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of National Fuel Gas based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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Complementary Tools for National Stock analysis
When running National Fuel's price analysis, check to measure National Fuel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Fuel is operating at the current time. Most of National Fuel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Fuel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Fuel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Fuel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is National Fuel's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Fuel. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Fuel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of National Fuel Gas is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Fuel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Fuel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Fuel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Fuel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National Fuel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National Fuel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Fuel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.