Nio Class A Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

NIO Stock  USD 4.00  0.09  2.30%   
Nio's odds of distress is over 50% at this time. It has a moderate probability of going through some financial distress in the next 2 years. Odds of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Nio balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Nio Piotroski F Score and Nio Altman Z Score analysis.
  
As of the 19th of April 2024, Market Cap is likely to grow to about 112.8 B. Also, Enterprise Value is likely to grow to about 110.7 B

Nio Class A Company odds of distress Analysis

Nio's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Nio Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Over 59%  
Most of Nio's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Nio Class A is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Nio probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Nio odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Nio Class A financial health.
Is Nio's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nio. If investors know Nio will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.72)
Revenue Per Share
32.713
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.065
Return On Assets
(0.13)
Return On Equity
(0.73)
The market value of Nio Class A is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nio that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Nio Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Nio is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Nio Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Nio's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Nio's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Nio's interrelated accounts and indicators.
0.830.910.43-0.950.890.990.740.960.880.970.870.91-0.920.720.880.760.870.960.990.980.560.96
0.830.970.05-0.790.820.770.820.780.930.690.550.95-0.950.830.560.780.890.680.750.880.830.88
0.910.970.16-0.860.820.870.80.850.910.80.690.93-0.960.810.70.780.890.780.850.950.80.91
0.430.050.16-0.420.390.450.380.480.210.540.640.19-0.09-0.280.640.230.240.580.510.37-0.310.32
-0.95-0.79-0.86-0.42-0.93-0.95-0.66-0.97-0.92-0.93-0.83-0.880.86-0.72-0.84-0.9-0.94-0.94-0.95-0.96-0.44-0.9
0.890.820.820.39-0.930.860.760.950.950.850.680.92-0.860.710.70.860.940.860.860.880.480.91
0.990.770.870.45-0.950.860.640.950.840.980.910.87-0.880.710.920.730.840.971.00.960.490.94
0.740.820.80.38-0.660.760.640.720.780.640.50.83-0.760.450.510.610.730.620.650.760.640.74
0.960.780.850.48-0.970.950.950.720.890.940.820.87-0.870.670.830.830.90.940.950.950.470.9
0.880.930.910.21-0.920.950.840.780.890.790.630.96-0.910.810.640.920.990.80.830.910.610.91
0.970.690.80.54-0.930.850.980.640.940.790.920.83-0.820.620.930.690.80.980.990.930.390.91
0.870.550.690.64-0.830.680.910.50.820.630.920.67-0.650.461.00.560.650.890.920.850.290.81
0.910.950.930.19-0.880.920.870.830.870.960.830.67-0.960.840.680.780.930.810.850.920.720.96
-0.92-0.95-0.96-0.090.86-0.86-0.88-0.76-0.87-0.91-0.82-0.65-0.96-0.89-0.66-0.73-0.88-0.79-0.86-0.93-0.8-0.93
0.720.830.81-0.28-0.720.710.710.450.670.810.620.460.84-0.890.470.670.790.580.660.760.770.8
0.880.560.70.64-0.840.70.920.510.830.640.931.00.68-0.660.470.570.670.90.930.860.290.82
0.760.780.780.23-0.90.860.730.610.830.920.690.560.78-0.730.670.570.960.730.730.820.40.73
0.870.890.890.24-0.940.940.840.730.90.990.80.650.93-0.880.790.670.960.810.830.920.550.89
0.960.680.780.58-0.940.860.970.620.940.80.980.890.81-0.790.580.90.730.810.990.910.310.88
0.990.750.850.51-0.950.861.00.650.950.830.990.920.85-0.860.660.930.730.830.990.950.440.93
0.980.880.950.37-0.960.880.960.760.950.910.930.850.92-0.930.760.860.820.920.910.950.630.95
0.560.830.8-0.31-0.440.480.490.640.470.610.390.290.72-0.80.770.290.40.550.310.440.630.63
0.960.880.910.32-0.90.910.940.740.90.910.910.810.96-0.930.80.820.730.890.880.930.950.63
Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Nio Class A has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 59%. This is 42.55% higher than that of the Automobiles sector and 29.02% higher than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 48.13% lower than that of the firm.

Nio Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Nio's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Nio could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nio by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Nio is regarded second in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Nio Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets(0.77)(0.0971)(0.0485)(0.15)(0.18)(0.19)
Asset Turnover0.540.30.440.510.470.34
Gross Profit Margin(0.15)0.120.190.10.05490.0345
Net Debt9.7B(29.0B)4.8B3.8B17.4B18.3B
Total Current Liabilities9.5B14.0B29.2B45.9B57.8B60.7B
Non Current Liabilities Total11.4B13.5B15.6B22.8B33.8B17.3B
Total Assets14.6B54.6B82.9B96.3B117.4B123.3B
Total Current Assets4.9B46.2B63.6B59.1B70.4B36.5B
Total Cash From Operating Activities(8.7B)2.0B2.0B(3.9B)(1.4B)(1.5B)

Nio Fundamentals

About Nio Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Nio Class A's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Nio using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nio Class A based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect
When determining whether Nio Class A offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Nio's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Nio Class A Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Nio Class A Stock:
Check out Nio Piotroski F Score and Nio Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

Complementary Tools for Nio Stock analysis

When running Nio's price analysis, check to measure Nio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nio is operating at the current time. Most of Nio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
FinTech Suite
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Is Nio's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nio. If investors know Nio will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.72)
Revenue Per Share
32.713
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.065
Return On Assets
(0.13)
Return On Equity
(0.73)
The market value of Nio Class A is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nio that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.