Walmart Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

WMT Stock  USD 60.17  0.55  0.91%   
Walmart's likelihood of distress is less than 5% at this time. It is unlikely to undergo any financial hardship in the next 24 months. Bankruptcy prediction helps decision makers evaluate Walmart's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Walmart balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Walmart Piotroski F Score and Walmart Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Walmart Stock please use our How to Invest in Walmart guide.
  

Walmart Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Walmart's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Walmart Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 5%  
Most of Walmart's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Walmart is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Walmart probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Walmart odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Walmart financial health.
Is Walmart's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Walmart. If investors know Walmart will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Walmart listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.12)
Dividend Share
0.76
Earnings Share
1.91
Revenue Per Share
80.243
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.057
The market value of Walmart is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Walmart that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Walmart's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Walmart's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Walmart's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Walmart's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Walmart's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Walmart is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Walmart's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Walmart Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Walmart is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Walmart Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Walmart's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Walmart's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Walmart's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Walmart has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 5.0%. This is 86.18% lower than that of the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector and 75.87% lower than that of the Consumer Staples industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 87.45% higher than that of the company.

Walmart Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Walmart's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Walmart could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Walmart by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Walmart is rated below average in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Walmart Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.06290.05350.05580.0480.06150.0908
Asset Turnover2.222.212.342.512.572.79
Net Debt63.0B45.5B42.6B50.0B50.6B29.1B
Total Current Liabilities77.8B92.6B87.4B92.5B92.4B97.0B
Non Current Liabilities Total77.2B72.3B65.6B67.0B69.4B34.8B
Total Assets236.5B252.5B244.9B243.5B252.4B132.1B
Total Current Assets61.8B90.1B81.1B75.9B76.9B41.7B
Total Cash From Operating Activities25.3B36.1B24.2B29.1B35.7B18.9B

Walmart ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Walmart's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Walmart's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

Walmart Fundamentals

About Walmart Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Walmart's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Walmart using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Walmart based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Walmart Inc. engages in the operation of retail, wholesale, and other units worldwide. The company was founded in 1945 and is based in Bentonville, Arkansas. Walmart operates under Discount Stores classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 2300000 people.

Walmart Investors Sentiment

The influence of Walmart's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Walmart. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Walmart's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Walmart. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Walmart can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Walmart. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Walmart's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Walmart's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Walmart's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Walmart.

Walmart Implied Volatility

    
  14.42  
Walmart's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Walmart stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Walmart's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Walmart stock will not fluctuate a lot when Walmart's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Walmart in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Walmart's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Walmart options trading.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Walmart is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Walmart Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Walmart Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Walmart Stock:
Check out Walmart Piotroski F Score and Walmart Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Walmart Stock please use our How to Invest in Walmart guide.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

Complementary Tools for Walmart Stock analysis

When running Walmart's price analysis, check to measure Walmart's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Walmart is operating at the current time. Most of Walmart's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Walmart's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Walmart's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Walmart to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Walmart's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Walmart. If investors know Walmart will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Walmart listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.12)
Dividend Share
0.76
Earnings Share
1.91
Revenue Per Share
80.243
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.057
The market value of Walmart is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Walmart that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Walmart's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Walmart's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Walmart's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Walmart's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Walmart's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Walmart is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Walmart's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.