Caterpillar Stock Analysis

CAT Stock  USD 366.43  1.78  0.49%   
Caterpillar is overvalued with Real Value of 342.45 and Target Price of 284.95. The main objective of Caterpillar stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Caterpillar is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Caterpillar's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Caterpillar's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Caterpillar's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Caterpillar stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Caterpillar is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Caterpillar Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Caterpillar's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Caterpillar. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
For more information on how to buy Caterpillar Stock please use our How to Invest in Caterpillar guide.

Caterpillar Stock Analysis Notes

About 73.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.09. Caterpillar recorded earning per share (EPS) of 20.13. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of January 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 14th of July 2005. Caterpillar Inc. manufactures and sells construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, and industrial gas turbines. The company was founded in 1925 and is headquartered in Deerfield, Illinois. Caterpillar operates under Farm Heavy Construction Machinery classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 107700 people. For more info on Caterpillar please contact Douglas Oberhelman at 972 891 7700 or go to https://www.caterpillar.com.

Caterpillar Quarterly Total Revenue

17.07 Billion

Caterpillar Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Caterpillar's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Caterpillar or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Caterpillar is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Caterpillar has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 73.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 20th of February 2024 Caterpillar paid $ 1.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from fool.com: Billionaire Bill Gates Has 35 Billion Invested in These 4 Stocks

Caterpillar Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Caterpillar to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Caterpillar previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
25th of April 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
6th of August 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of March 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
3rd of February 2025
Next Fiscal Year End
View
31st of December 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

Caterpillar Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Caterpillar's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2002-10-16
2002-09-300.280.310.0310 
2001-07-17
2001-06-300.350.390.0411 
2001-01-18
2000-12-310.330.380.0515 
View All Earnings Estimates

Caterpillar Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Caterpillar stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Machinery Idea
Machinery
USA Equities from Machinery industry as classified by Fama & French

Caterpillar Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Caterpillar is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Caterpillar backward and forwards among themselves. Caterpillar's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Caterpillar's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Norges Bank2023-12-31
5.6 M
Fmr Inc2023-12-31
5.5 M
Bank Of America Corp2023-12-31
4.7 M
Legal & General Group Plc2023-12-31
3.8 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
3.8 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2023-12-31
3.3 M
Amundi2023-12-31
3.2 M
Amvescap Plc.2023-12-31
M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
2.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
48.4 M
State Street Corporation2023-12-31
37.7 M
Note, although Caterpillar's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Caterpillar Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mega-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 182.1 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Caterpillar's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Caterpillar's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Caterpillar Profitablity

Caterpillar's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Caterpillar's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Caterpillar is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Caterpillar's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Caterpillar's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Caterpillar's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.15 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.19 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.19 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Return On Capital Employed 0.26  0.28 
Return On Assets 0.12  0.12 
Return On Equity 0.53  0.56 

Management Efficiency

Caterpillar has Return on Asset of 0.1008 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.1008 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.5838 %, implying that it generated $0.5838 on every 100 dollars invested. Caterpillar's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Caterpillar manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Capital Employed is likely to gain to 0.28 in 2024. Return On Assets is likely to gain to 0.12 in 2024. At this time, Caterpillar's Non Current Liabilities Other is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Change To Liabilities is likely to gain to about 426.2 M in 2024, whereas Total Current Liabilities is likely to drop slightly above 17.8 B in 2024.
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Price Book Value Ratio 7.74  8.13 
Enterprise Value Multiple 11.42  9.31 
Price Fair Value 7.74  8.13 
The analysis of Caterpillar's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Caterpillar's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Caterpillar Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Dividend Yield
0.0143
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0143
Forward Dividend Rate
5.2
Beta
1.152

Technical Drivers

As of the 28th of March, Caterpillar shows the Mean Deviation of 1.02, downside deviation of 1.57, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1594. Caterpillar technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze nineteen technical drivers for Caterpillar, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Caterpillar variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if Caterpillar is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 366.43 per share. Given that Caterpillar has jensen alpha of 0.1488, we suggest you to validate Caterpillar's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Caterpillar Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was twenty-three with a total number of output elements of thirty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Caterpillar middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Caterpillar. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Caterpillar Outstanding Bonds

Caterpillar issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Caterpillar uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Caterpillar bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Caterpillar has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Caterpillar Predictive Daily Indicators

Caterpillar intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Caterpillar stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Caterpillar Corporate Filings

F4
18th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
12th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
8th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
6th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
5th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
29th of February 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
27th of February 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
26th of February 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Caterpillar Forecast Models

Caterpillar's time-series forecasting models are one of many Caterpillar's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Caterpillar's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Caterpillar Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Caterpillar prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Caterpillar shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Caterpillar. By using and applying Caterpillar Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Caterpillar entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Pretax Profit Margin 0.19  0.20 
Operating Profit Margin 0.21  0.22 
Net Profit Margin 0.15  0.16 
Gross Profit Margin 0.35  0.22 

Current Caterpillar Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Caterpillar analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Caterpillar analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
284.95Buy31Odds
Caterpillar current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Caterpillar analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Caterpillar stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Caterpillar, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Caterpillar conference calls.
Caterpillar Analyst Advice Details

Caterpillar Stock Analysis Indicators

Caterpillar stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Caterpillar stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Caterpillar shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Caterpillar stock analysis, traders can identify Caterpillar position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash FlowB
Long Term Debt24.5 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding513.6 M
Total Stockholder Equity19.5 B
Tax Provision2.8 B
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.893
Property Plant And Equipment Net13.2 B
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB
CashB
Accounts Payable7.9 B
Net Debt31.5 B
50 Day M A324.603
Total Current Liabilities34.7 B
Other Operating Expenses53.2 B
Non Current Assets Total40.5 B
Forward Price Earnings17.1821
Non Currrent Assets Other830 M
Stock Based Compensation208 M
When determining whether Caterpillar is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Caterpillar Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Caterpillar Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Caterpillar Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Caterpillar. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
For more information on how to buy Caterpillar Stock please use our How to Invest in Caterpillar guide.
Note that the Caterpillar information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Caterpillar's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.

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Is Caterpillar's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Caterpillar. If investors know Caterpillar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Caterpillar listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.893
Dividend Share
5.1
Earnings Share
20.13
Revenue Per Share
131.336
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.029
The market value of Caterpillar is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Caterpillar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Caterpillar's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Caterpillar's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Caterpillar's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Caterpillar's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Caterpillar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Caterpillar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Caterpillar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.