Freshpet Stock Analysis

FRPT Stock  USD 103.84  1.31  1.25%   
Freshpet is fairly valued with Real Value of 103.94 and Target Price of 87.05. The main objective of Freshpet stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Freshpet is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Freshpet's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Freshpet's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Freshpet's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Freshpet stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Freshpet is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Freshpet Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Freshpet's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Freshpet. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
For more information on how to buy Freshpet Stock please use our How to Invest in Freshpet guide.

Freshpet Stock Analysis Notes

About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.7. Freshpet had not issued any dividends in recent years. Freshpet, Inc. manufactures and markets natural fresh meals and treats for dogs and cats in the United States, Canada, and Europe. Freshpet, Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Secaucus, New Jersey. Freshpet Inc operates under Packaged Foods classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 789 people. To learn more about Freshpet call Richard Thompson at 201 520 4000 or check out https://www.freshpet.com.

Freshpet Quarterly Total Revenue

215.42 Million

Freshpet Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Freshpet's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Freshpet or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 766.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (33.61 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 186.03 M.
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Unleash Your Portfolio 3 Pet Stocks Poised to Fetch Big Returns - InvestorPlace

Freshpet Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Freshpet to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Freshpet previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
26th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
13th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
26th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Freshpet Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Freshpet's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-11-02
2020-09-300.10.09-0.0110 
2020-05-04
2020-03-31-0.06-0.07-0.0116 
2019-05-06
2019-03-31-0.09-0.1-0.0111 
View All Earnings Estimates

Freshpet Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Freshpet stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Food Products Idea
Food Products
USA Equities from Food Products industry as classified by Fama & French

Freshpet Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Freshpet is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Freshpet backward and forwards among themselves. Freshpet's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Freshpet's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
1.2 M
Riverbridge Partners Llc2023-12-31
1.1 M
Capital World Investors2023-12-31
974.4 K
Jennison Associates Llc2023-12-31
915.8 K
Eagle Asset Management, Inc.2023-12-31
874 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
828 K
Armistice Capital, Llc2023-12-31
803.3 K
State Street Corporation2023-12-31
747.3 K
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd2023-12-31
738.6 K
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
4.7 M
Champlain Investment Partners, Llc2023-12-31
3.8 M
Note, although Freshpet's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Freshpet Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 5.02 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Freshpet's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Freshpet's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Freshpet Profitablity

Freshpet's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Freshpet's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Freshpet is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Freshpet's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Freshpet's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Freshpet's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.04) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.07 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.07.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Capital Employed(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Assets(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Equity(0.04)(0.03)

Management Efficiency

Freshpet has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0143) % which means that it has lost $0.0143 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.0339) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Freshpet's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Freshpet manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.02 in 2024. Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -0.02 in 2024. At this time, Freshpet's Total Current Liabilities is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is likely to gain to about 1.5 B in 2024, despite the fact that Change To Liabilities is likely to grow to (2.6 M).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 19.80  20.79 
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 19.80  20.79 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 149.66  157.14 
Price Book Value Ratio 4.38  4.60 
Enterprise Value Multiple 149.66  157.14 
Price Fair Value 4.38  4.60 
Enterprise ValueB5.3 B
The analysis of Freshpet's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Freshpet's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Freshpet Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Beta
1.225

Technical Drivers

As of the 19th of April, Freshpet shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 854.99, downside deviation of 1.39, and Mean Deviation of 1.4. Freshpet technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate data for nineteen technical drivers for Freshpet, which can be compared to its peers. Please confirm Freshpet mean deviation, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and downside variance to decide if Freshpet is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 103.84 per share. Given that Freshpet has jensen alpha of 0.2651, we urge you to verify Freshpet's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Freshpet Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Freshpet middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Freshpet. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Freshpet Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Freshpet insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Freshpet's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Freshpet insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Freshpet Predictive Daily Indicators

Freshpet intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Freshpet stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Freshpet Corporate Filings

F4
11th of April 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
10th of April 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
4th of April 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
20th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F3
19th of March 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
F4
18th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
7th of March 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F4
4th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Freshpet Forecast Models

Freshpet's time-series forecasting models are one of many Freshpet's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Freshpet's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Freshpet Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Freshpet prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Freshpet shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Freshpet. By using and applying Freshpet Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Freshpet entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.04)(0.04)
Operating Profit Margin(0.04)(0.04)
Net Loss(0.04)(0.05)
Gross Profit Margin 0.31  0.47 

Current Freshpet Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Freshpet analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Freshpet analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
87.05Strong Buy19Odds
Freshpet current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Freshpet analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Freshpet stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Freshpet, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Freshpet conference calls.
Freshpet Analyst Advice Details

Freshpet Stock Analysis Indicators

Freshpet stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Freshpet stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Freshpet shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Freshpet stock analysis, traders can identify Freshpet position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow132.7 M
Long Term Debt393.1 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding48.2 M
Total Stockholder Equity953.5 M
Tax Provision210 K
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.093
Property Plant And Equipment Net984.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments296.9 M
Cash296.9 M
Accounts Payable36.1 M
Net Debt128.2 M
50 Day M A105.5496
Total Current Liabilities89.2 M
Other Operating Expenses796.6 M
Non Current Assets TotalB
Forward Price Earnings104.1667
Non Currrent Assets Other28.9 M
Stock Based Compensation24.9 M
When determining whether Freshpet is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Freshpet Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Freshpet Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Freshpet Stock:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Freshpet. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
For more information on how to buy Freshpet Stock please use our How to Invest in Freshpet guide.
You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..

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When running Freshpet's price analysis, check to measure Freshpet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Freshpet is operating at the current time. Most of Freshpet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Freshpet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Freshpet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Freshpet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Freshpet's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Freshpet. If investors know Freshpet will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Freshpet listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.093
Earnings Share
(0.70)
Revenue Per Share
15.923
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.299
Return On Assets
(0.01)
The market value of Freshpet is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Freshpet that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Freshpet's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Freshpet's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Freshpet's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Freshpet's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Freshpet's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Freshpet is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Freshpet's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.