Arthur J Gallagher Stock Volatility
| AJG Stock | USD 236.57 2.58 1.10% |
We consider Arthur J very steady. Arthur J Gallagher secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0022, which signifies that the company had a 0.0022% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Arthur J Gallagher, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Arthur J's Mean Deviation of 0.7581, risk adjusted performance of 0.0073, and Downside Deviation of 1.06 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0021%. Key indicators related to Arthur J's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Arthur J Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Arthur daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Arthur's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Arthur J volatility.
Arthur |
ESG Sustainability
While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Arthur J's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Arthur J's managers and investors.Environment Score | Governance Score | Social Score |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Arthur J can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Arthur J at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Arthur stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Arthur J's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with Arthur Stock
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| 0.78 | BRO | Brown Brown Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.79 | BRP | Brp Group Financial Report 14th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.87 | MMC | Marsh McLennan Companies Financial Report 18th of July 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.7 | WTW | Willis Towers Watson Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
Moving against Arthur Stock
Arthur J Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Arthur J's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Arthur stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Arthur stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Arthur J's beta of 0.39 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Arthur J stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Arthur J Gallagher has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.41 and kurtosis of -0.31. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Arthur J's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Arthur J's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Arthur J Gallagher Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Arthur J correlation with market (NYSE Composite)Arthur Beta |
Arthur standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.95 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Arthur J's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Arthur J's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in arthur stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Arthur J.
Using Arthur Put Option to Manage Risk
Put options written on Arthur J grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Arthur J at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Arthur Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Arthur J's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Arthur J will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.
Arthur J's PUT expiring on 2024-05-17
Profit |
| Arthur J Price At Expiration |
Current Arthur J Insurance Chain
| Delta | Gamma | Open Int | Expiration | Current Spread | Last Price | |||
Put | 2024-05-17 PUT at $260.0 | -0.901 | 0.0103 | 2 | 2024-05-17 | 21.8 - 26.0 | 10.3 | View |
Put | 2024-05-17 PUT at $250.0 | -0.7931 | 0.0192 | 21 | 2024-05-17 | 13.1 - 16.3 | 18.61 | View |
Put | 2024-05-17 PUT at $240.0 | -0.5645 | 0.0265 | 50 | 2024-05-17 | 6.5 - 7.7 | 7.55 | View |
Put | 2024-05-17 PUT at $230.0 | -0.3116 | 0.0223 | 998 | 2024-05-17 | 2.8 - 3.5 | 3.3 | View |
Put | 2024-05-17 PUT at $220.0 | -0.1253 | 0.0129 | 14 | 2024-05-17 | 0.4 - 1.65 | 2.75 | View |
Put | 2024-05-17 PUT at $210.0 | -0.0737 | 0.0068 | 103 | 2024-05-17 | 0.55 - 0.85 | 1.4 | View |
Put | 2024-05-17 PUT at $200.0 | -0.0418 | 0.0037 | 1 | 2024-05-17 | 0.25 - 0.6 | 0.7 | View |
Arthur J Gallagher Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Arthur J stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Arthur J's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Arthur J's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Arthur J's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Arthur J's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Arthur J's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Arthur J's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Arthur J's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Arthur J Gallagher Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Arthur J Projected Return Density Against Market
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Arthur J has a beta of 0.39 . This suggests as returns on the market go up, Arthur J average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Arthur J Gallagher will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Arthur J or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Arthur J's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Arthur stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Arthur J Gallagher has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an Arthur J Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Arthur J Stock Risk Measures
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Arthur J is 45978.37. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.91 and standard deviation of 0.95. The mean deviation of Arthur J Gallagher is currently at 0.75. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.61
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Arthur J Stock Return Volatility
Arthur J historical daily return volatility represents how much of Arthur J stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company has volatility of 0.9521% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6179% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Arthur J Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Arthur J or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Arthur J may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Arthur's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Arthur J and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Arthur J fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Market Cap | 3.4 B | 3.5 B |
Arthur J's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Arthur Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Arthur J's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Arthur J's volatility to invest better
Higher Arthur J's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Arthur J Gallagher stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Arthur J Gallagher stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Arthur J Gallagher investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Arthur J's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Arthur J's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Arthur J Investment Opportunity
Arthur J Gallagher has a volatility of 0.95 and is 1.53 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Arthur J Gallagher is lower than 8 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Arthur J Gallagher to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of Arthur J to be traded at $260.23 in 90 days.Modest diversification
The correlation between Arthur J Gallagher and NYA is 0.25 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Arthur J Gallagher and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Arthur J Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Arthur J's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Arthur J's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Arthur J stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0073 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.0009) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.7581 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 16540.6 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.952 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Arthur J Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Arthur J as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Arthur J's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Arthur J's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Arthur J Gallagher.
When determining whether Arthur J Gallagher is a strong investment it is important to analyze Arthur J's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Arthur J's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Arthur Stock, refer to the following important reports: Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Arthur J Gallagher. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Complementary Tools for Arthur Stock analysis
When running Arthur J's price analysis, check to measure Arthur J's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arthur J is operating at the current time. Most of Arthur J's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arthur J's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arthur J's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arthur J to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Arthur J's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arthur J. If investors know Arthur will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arthur J listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.076 | Dividend Share 2.2 | Earnings Share 4.42 | Revenue Per Share 44.482 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.18 |
The market value of Arthur J Gallagher is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arthur that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arthur J's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arthur J's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arthur J's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arthur J's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arthur J's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Arthur J is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arthur J's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.