Fairfax Financial Holdings Volatility

FRFHFDelisted Stock  USD 1,006  3.70  0.37%   
Fairfax Financial appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Fairfax Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.1, which denotes the company had a 0.1% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Fairfax Financial Holdings, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Fairfax Financial's Mean Deviation of 1.53, downside deviation of 2.66, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1258.59 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Fairfax Financial's volatility include:
360 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
360 Days Economic Sensitivity
Fairfax Financial Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Fairfax daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Fairfax's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Fairfax Financial volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Fairfax Financial can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Fairfax Financial at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Fairfax stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Fairfax Financial's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with Fairfax Pink Sheet

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Moving against Fairfax Pink Sheet

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Fairfax Financial Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Fairfax Financial's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Fairfax pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Fairfax pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, Fairfax Financial's beta of -0.37 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Fairfax Financial pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Fairfax Financial Holdings currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.02 and Jensen Alpha of 0.21. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Fairfax Financial's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Fairfax Financial's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Fairfax Financial Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Fairfax Financial correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Fairfax Beta

    
  -0.37  
Fairfax standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  2.72  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Fairfax Financial's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Fairfax Financial's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in fairfax pink sheet tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Fairfax Financial.

Fairfax Financial Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Fairfax Financial pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Fairfax Financial's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Fairfax Financial's pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Fairfax Financial's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of pink sheet volatility measures Fairfax Financial's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Fairfax Financial's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Fairfax Financial's current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Fairfax Financial's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
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Fairfax Financial Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon Fairfax Financial Holdings has a beta of -0.3724 . This usually indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Fairfax Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Fairfax Financial Holdings is likely to outperform the market.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Fairfax Financial or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Fairfax Financial's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Fairfax pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Fairfax Financial Holdings has an alpha of 0.2148, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Fairfax Financial's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how fairfax pink sheet's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Fairfax Financial Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Fairfax Financial Pink Sheet Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Fairfax Financial is 956.43. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 7.41 and standard deviation of 2.72. The mean deviation of Fairfax Financial Holdings is currently at 1.79. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.56
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.21
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.37
σ
Overall volatility
2.72
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Fairfax Financial Pink Sheet Return Volatility

Fairfax Financial historical daily return volatility represents how much of Fairfax Financial pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 2.7226% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.5731% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Fairfax Financial Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Fairfax Financial or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Fairfax Financial may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Fairfax's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Fairfax Financial and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Fairfax Financial fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty insurance and reinsurance, and investment management services in the United States, Canada, Asia, and internationally. Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1951 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada. Fairfax Finl operates under InsuranceProperty Casualty classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 15891 people.
Fairfax Financial's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Fairfax Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Fairfax Financial's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Fairfax Financial's volatility to invest better

Higher Fairfax Financial's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Fairfax Financial stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Fairfax Financial stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Fairfax Financial investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Fairfax Financial's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Fairfax Financial's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Fairfax Financial Investment Opportunity

Fairfax Financial Holdings has a volatility of 2.72 and is 4.77 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Fairfax Financial Holdings is lower than 24 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Fairfax Financial Holdings to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The pink sheet experiences a normal downward fluctuation but is a risky buy. Check odds of Fairfax Financial to be traded at $996.29 in 90 days.

Good diversification

The correlation between Fairfax Financial Holdings and NYA is -0.09 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Fairfax Financial Holdings and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Fairfax Financial Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fairfax Financial's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fairfax Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Fairfax Financial pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Fairfax Financial Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Fairfax Financial as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Fairfax Financial's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Fairfax Financial's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Fairfax Financial Holdings.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
Note that the Fairfax Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Fairfax Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.

Other Consideration for investing in Fairfax Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Fairfax Financial check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Fairfax Financial's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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