Alibaba Group (UK) Market Value

0HCI Stock   120.95  3.58  3.05%   
Alibaba Group's market value is the price at which a share of Alibaba Group trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Alibaba Group Holding investors about its performance. Alibaba Group is selling for under 120.95 as of the 21st of July 2025; that is 3.05% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 116.81.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Alibaba Group Holding and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Alibaba Group over a given investment horizon. Check out Alibaba Group Correlation, Alibaba Group Volatility and Alibaba Group Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Alibaba Group.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Alibaba Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alibaba Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alibaba Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Alibaba Group 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alibaba Group's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alibaba Group.
0.00
04/22/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
07/21/2025
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If you would invest  0.00  in Alibaba Group on April 22, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alibaba Group Holding or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alibaba Group over 90 days. Alibaba Group is related to or competes with Air Products, Abingdon Health, OptiBiotix Health, United Utilities, Universal Health, Bellevue Healthcare, and Omega Healthcare. Alibaba Group is entity of United Kingdom More

Alibaba Group Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alibaba Group's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alibaba Group Holding upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Alibaba Group Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alibaba Group's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alibaba Group's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alibaba Group historical prices to predict the future Alibaba Group's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
118.36120.91123.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
98.30100.85133.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
124.77127.33129.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
99.87111.71123.55
Details

Alibaba Group Holding Backtested Returns

Currently, Alibaba Group Holding is very steady. Alibaba Group Holding secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0493, which signifies that the company had a 0.0493 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Alibaba Group Holding, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Alibaba Group's Mean Deviation of 1.94, downside deviation of 2.43, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0481 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. Alibaba Group has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.29, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Alibaba Group's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Alibaba Group is expected to be smaller as well. Alibaba Group Holding right now shows a risk of 2.55%. Please confirm Alibaba Group Holding semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to decide if Alibaba Group Holding will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.1  

Very weak reverse predictability

Alibaba Group Holding has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alibaba Group time series from 22nd of April 2025 to 6th of June 2025 and 6th of June 2025 to 21st of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alibaba Group Holding price movement. The serial correlation of -0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current Alibaba Group price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.1
Spearman Rank Test0.21
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance19.74

Alibaba Group Holding lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Alibaba Group stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Alibaba Group's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Alibaba Group returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Alibaba Group has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Alibaba Group regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Alibaba Group stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Alibaba Group stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Alibaba Group stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Alibaba Group Lagged Returns

When evaluating Alibaba Group's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Alibaba Group stock have on its future price. Alibaba Group autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Alibaba Group autocorrelation shows the relationship between Alibaba Group stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Alibaba Group Holding.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Alibaba Stock Analysis

When running Alibaba Group's price analysis, check to measure Alibaba Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alibaba Group is operating at the current time. Most of Alibaba Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alibaba Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alibaba Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alibaba Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.