Spotify Technology (UK) Market Value

0SPT Stock   597.50  17.50  2.85%   
Spotify Technology's market value is the price at which a share of Spotify Technology trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Spotify Technology SA investors about its performance. Spotify Technology is selling for under 597.50 as of the 19th of July 2025; that is 2.85% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 594.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Spotify Technology SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Spotify Technology over a given investment horizon. Check out Spotify Technology Correlation, Spotify Technology Volatility and Spotify Technology Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Spotify Technology.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Spotify Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Spotify Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Spotify Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Spotify Technology 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Spotify Technology's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Spotify Technology.
0.00
04/20/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
07/19/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Spotify Technology on April 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Spotify Technology SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Spotify Technology over 90 days. Spotify Technology is related to or competes with Fiinu PLC, AFC Energy, Argo Blockchain, SANTANDER, Coor Service, Mereo BioPharma, and IShares Dow. Spotify Technology is entity of United Kingdom More

Spotify Technology Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Spotify Technology's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Spotify Technology SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Spotify Technology Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Spotify Technology's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Spotify Technology's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Spotify Technology historical prices to predict the future Spotify Technology's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
591.22593.54657.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
491.38493.70657.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
602.83605.15607.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
596.96610.31623.67
Details

Spotify Technology Backtested Returns

Spotify Technology appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Spotify Technology owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.1, which indicates the firm had a 0.1 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Spotify Technology SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Spotify Technology's Coefficient Of Variation of 780.86, risk adjusted performance of 0.1256, and Semi Deviation of 1.87 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Spotify Technology holds a performance score of 8. The entity has a beta of -0.52, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Spotify Technology are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Spotify Technology is likely to outperform the market. Please check Spotify Technology's standard deviation, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Spotify Technology's existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.11  

Insignificant predictability

Spotify Technology SA has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Spotify Technology time series from 20th of April 2025 to 4th of June 2025 and 4th of June 2025 to 19th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Spotify Technology price movement. The serial correlation of 0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current Spotify Technology price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.11
Spearman Rank Test-0.16
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance255.83

Spotify Technology lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Spotify Technology stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Spotify Technology's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Spotify Technology returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Spotify Technology has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Spotify Technology regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Spotify Technology stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Spotify Technology stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Spotify Technology stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Spotify Technology Lagged Returns

When evaluating Spotify Technology's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Spotify Technology stock have on its future price. Spotify Technology autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Spotify Technology autocorrelation shows the relationship between Spotify Technology stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Spotify Technology SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Spotify Stock Analysis

When running Spotify Technology's price analysis, check to measure Spotify Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Spotify Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Spotify Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Spotify Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Spotify Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Spotify Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.