Northland Power (Germany) Market Value

1NR Stock  EUR 14.28  0.08  0.56%   
Northland Power's market value is the price at which a share of Northland Power trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Northland Power investors about its performance. Northland Power is trading at 14.28 as of the 20th of July 2025. This is a 0.56 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 14.28.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Northland Power and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Northland Power over a given investment horizon. Check out Northland Power Correlation, Northland Power Volatility and Northland Power Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Northland Power.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Northland Power's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Northland Power is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northland Power's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Northland Power 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Northland Power's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Northland Power.
0.00
04/21/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
07/20/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Northland Power on April 21, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Northland Power or generate 0.0% return on investment in Northland Power over 90 days. Northland Power is related to or competes with Lendlease, WILLIS LEASE, Kingdee International, ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES, CanSino Biologics, Bio-Techne Corp, and AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR. Northland Power Inc. develops, builds, owns, and operates clean and green power projects primarily in Canada and Europe More

Northland Power Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Northland Power's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Northland Power upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Northland Power Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Northland Power's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Northland Power's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Northland Power historical prices to predict the future Northland Power's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.2314.2816.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.4011.4515.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.3014.3516.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.5014.1214.74
Details

Northland Power Backtested Returns

Northland Power appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Northland Power has Sharpe Ratio of 0.2, which conveys that the firm had a 0.2 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Northland Power, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Northland Power's Mean Deviation of 1.54, downside deviation of 1.74, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1624 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Northland Power holds a performance score of 15. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0996, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Northland Power are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Northland Power is likely to outperform the market. Please check Northland Power's coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, sortino ratio, as well as the relationship between the information ratio and total risk alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Northland Power's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.53  

Modest predictability

Northland Power has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Northland Power time series from 21st of April 2025 to 5th of June 2025 and 5th of June 2025 to 20th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Northland Power price movement. The serial correlation of 0.53 indicates that about 53.0% of current Northland Power price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.53
Spearman Rank Test0.51
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.2

Northland Power lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Northland Power stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Northland Power's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Northland Power returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Northland Power has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Northland Power regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Northland Power stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Northland Power stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Northland Power stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Northland Power Lagged Returns

When evaluating Northland Power's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Northland Power stock have on its future price. Northland Power autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Northland Power autocorrelation shows the relationship between Northland Power stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Northland Power.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Northland Stock

Northland Power financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northland Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northland with respect to the benefits of owning Northland Power security.