DV Biomed (Taiwan) Market Value

6539 Stock  TWD 46.00  1.00  2.22%   
DV Biomed's market value is the price at which a share of DV Biomed trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of DV Biomed Co investors about its performance. DV Biomed is selling for under 46.00 as of the 7th of May 2024; that is 2.22 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 44.55.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of DV Biomed Co and determine expected loss or profit from investing in DV Biomed over a given investment horizon. Check out DV Biomed Correlation, DV Biomed Volatility and DV Biomed Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on DV Biomed.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between DV Biomed's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if DV Biomed is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, DV Biomed's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

DV Biomed 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to DV Biomed's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of DV Biomed.
0.00
05/18/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
05/07/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in DV Biomed on May 18, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding DV Biomed Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in DV Biomed over 720 days. DV Biomed is related to or competes with Chun Yuan, Chunghwa Telecom, U Media, TWOWAY Communications, Sheng Yu, Tung Ho, and Tainet Communication. DV Biomed Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells medical-grade skin care products in Taiwan and internationally More

DV Biomed Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure DV Biomed's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess DV Biomed Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

DV Biomed Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for DV Biomed's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as DV Biomed's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use DV Biomed historical prices to predict the future DV Biomed's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DV Biomed's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.9446.0055.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.4434.5050.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.0020.0629.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
43.9845.0046.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as DV Biomed. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against DV Biomed's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, DV Biomed's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in DV Biomed.

DV Biomed Backtested Returns

DV Biomed retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.14, which denotes the company had a -0.14% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. DV Biomed exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm DV Biomed's Standard Deviation of 8.29, information ratio of (0.14), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.86) to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 1.28, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, DV Biomed will likely underperform. DV Biomed has an expected return of -1.31%. Please make sure to confirm DV Biomed Co coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if DV Biomed performance from the past will be repeated sooner or later.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.08  

Very weak reverse predictability

DV Biomed Co has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between DV Biomed time series from 18th of May 2022 to 13th of May 2023 and 13th of May 2023 to 7th of May 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of DV Biomed price movement. The serial correlation of -0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current DV Biomed price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.08
Spearman Rank Test0.41
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1860.16

DV Biomed lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is DV Biomed stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting DV Biomed's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of DV Biomed returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that DV Biomed has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

DV Biomed regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If DV Biomed stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if DV Biomed stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in DV Biomed stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

DV Biomed Lagged Returns

When evaluating DV Biomed's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of DV Biomed stock have on its future price. DV Biomed autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, DV Biomed autocorrelation shows the relationship between DV Biomed stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in DV Biomed Co.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Check out DV Biomed Correlation, DV Biomed Volatility and DV Biomed Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on DV Biomed.
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DV Biomed technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of DV Biomed technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of DV Biomed trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...