Adaptive Ad Systems Stock Market Value
| AATV Stock | USD 0.15 0.03 25.00% |
| Symbol | Adaptive |
Adaptive 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Adaptive's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Adaptive.
| 04/21/2025 |
| 07/20/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Adaptive on April 21, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Adaptive Ad Systems or generate 0.0% return on investment in Adaptive over 90 days. Adaptive is related to or competes with Ambase Corp, and Global Acquisitions. Adaptive Ad Systems Inc. operates as a digital media and video communications company in the United States More
Adaptive Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Adaptive's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Adaptive Ad Systems upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 19.9 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.041 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 75.26 | |||
| Value At Risk | (19.05) | |||
| Potential Upside | 25.0 |
Adaptive Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Adaptive's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Adaptive's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Adaptive historical prices to predict the future Adaptive's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0572 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.7468 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.23) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0285 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.82) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Adaptive's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Adaptive Ad Systems Backtested Returns
Adaptive appears to be out of control, given 3 months investment horizon. Adaptive Ad Systems secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0252, which signifies that the company had a 0.0252 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Adaptive Ad Systems, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Adaptive's mean deviation of 5.64, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0572 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Adaptive holds a performance score of 1. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.38, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Adaptive are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Adaptive is likely to outperform the market. Please check Adaptive's information ratio and the relationship between the value at risk and period momentum indicator , to make a quick decision on whether Adaptive's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.55 |
Good reverse predictability
Adaptive Ad Systems has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Adaptive time series from 21st of April 2025 to 5th of June 2025 and 5th of June 2025 to 20th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Adaptive Ad Systems price movement. The serial correlation of -0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current Adaptive price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.55 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.42 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Adaptive Ad Systems lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Adaptive pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Adaptive's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Adaptive returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Adaptive has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Adaptive regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Adaptive pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Adaptive pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Adaptive pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Adaptive Lagged Returns
When evaluating Adaptive's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Adaptive pink sheet have on its future price. Adaptive autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Adaptive autocorrelation shows the relationship between Adaptive pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Adaptive Ad Systems.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Thematic Opportunities
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Additional Tools for Adaptive Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Adaptive's price analysis, check to measure Adaptive's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Adaptive is operating at the current time. Most of Adaptive's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Adaptive's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Adaptive's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Adaptive to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.