Autodesk (Mexico) Market Value

ADSK Stock  MXN 5,430  77.00  1.44%   
Autodesk's market value is the price at which a share of Autodesk trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Autodesk investors about its performance. Autodesk is trading at 5430.00 as of the 20th of July 2025; that is 1.44 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 5353.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Autodesk and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Autodesk over a given investment horizon. Check out Autodesk Correlation, Autodesk Volatility and Autodesk Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Autodesk.
For more information on how to buy Autodesk Stock please use our How to Invest in Autodesk guide.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Autodesk's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Autodesk is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Autodesk's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Autodesk 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Autodesk's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Autodesk.
0.00
04/21/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
07/20/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Autodesk on April 21, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Autodesk or generate 0.0% return on investment in Autodesk over 90 days. Autodesk is related to or competes with DocuSign,, Trade Desk,. Autodesk, Inc. provides 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software and services worldwide More

Autodesk Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Autodesk's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Autodesk upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Autodesk Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Autodesk's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Autodesk's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Autodesk historical prices to predict the future Autodesk's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,4285,4305,432
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,8875,4945,496
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,1805,1815,183
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5,1485,6096,070
Details

Autodesk Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Autodesk Stock to be very steady. Autodesk secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0522, which signifies that the company had a 0.0522 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Autodesk, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Autodesk's Mean Deviation of 0.5559, risk adjusted performance of 0.0775, and Standard Deviation of 1.55 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0802%. Autodesk has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0756, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Autodesk's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Autodesk is expected to be smaller as well. Autodesk right now shows a risk of 1.54%. Please confirm Autodesk total risk alpha, skewness, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to decide if Autodesk will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.19  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Autodesk has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Autodesk time series from 21st of April 2025 to 5th of June 2025 and 5th of June 2025 to 20th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Autodesk price movement. The serial correlation of -0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current Autodesk price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.19
Spearman Rank Test-0.12
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance27.2 K

Autodesk lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Autodesk stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Autodesk's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Autodesk returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Autodesk has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Autodesk regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Autodesk stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Autodesk stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Autodesk stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Autodesk Lagged Returns

When evaluating Autodesk's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Autodesk stock have on its future price. Autodesk autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Autodesk autocorrelation shows the relationship between Autodesk stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Autodesk.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Autodesk Stock Analysis

When running Autodesk's price analysis, check to measure Autodesk's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Autodesk is operating at the current time. Most of Autodesk's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Autodesk's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Autodesk's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Autodesk to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.