American Electric (Germany) Market Value

AEP Stock  EUR 94.40  1.60  1.72%   
American Electric's market value is the price at which a share of American Electric trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of American Electric Power investors about its performance. American Electric is trading at 94.40 as of the 24th of July 2025. This is a 1.72 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 94.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of American Electric Power and determine expected loss or profit from investing in American Electric over a given investment horizon. Check out American Electric Correlation, American Electric Volatility and American Electric Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on American Electric.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between American Electric's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Electric is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Electric's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

American Electric 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to American Electric's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of American Electric.
0.00
04/25/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
07/24/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in American Electric on April 25, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding American Electric Power or generate 0.0% return on investment in American Electric over 90 days. American Electric is related to or competes with Monster Beverage, National Beverage, CITIC Telecom, Comba Telecom, Ecotel Communication, MAROC TELECOM, and Ebro Foods. American Electric Power Company, Inc., an electric public utility holding company, engages in the generation, transmissi... More

American Electric Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure American Electric's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess American Electric Power upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

American Electric Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for American Electric's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as American Electric's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use American Electric historical prices to predict the future American Electric's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
93.3294.4095.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
76.6277.70103.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
94.5095.5896.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
85.6789.4393.18
Details

American Electric Power Backtested Returns

At this point, American Electric is very steady. American Electric Power secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0245, which signifies that the company had a 0.0245 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for American Electric Power, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm American Electric's risk adjusted performance of 0.0261, and Mean Deviation of 0.7911 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0264%. American Electric has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.17, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning American Electric are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, American Electric is likely to outperform the market. American Electric Power right now shows a risk of 1.08%. Please confirm American Electric Power downside deviation, information ratio, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to decide if American Electric Power will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.34  

Poor reverse predictability

American Electric Power has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between American Electric time series from 25th of April 2025 to 9th of June 2025 and 9th of June 2025 to 24th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of American Electric Power price movement. The serial correlation of -0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current American Electric price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.34
Spearman Rank Test-0.34
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.6

American Electric Power lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is American Electric stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting American Electric's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of American Electric returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that American Electric has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

American Electric regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If American Electric stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if American Electric stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in American Electric stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

American Electric Lagged Returns

When evaluating American Electric's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of American Electric stock have on its future price. American Electric autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, American Electric autocorrelation shows the relationship between American Electric stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in American Electric Power.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in American Stock

When determining whether American Electric Power is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if American Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about American Electric Power Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about American Electric Power Stock:
Check out American Electric Correlation, American Electric Volatility and American Electric Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on American Electric.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
American Electric technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of American Electric technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of American Electric trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...