American Financial Group Stock Market Value
| AFGE Stock | USD 19.36 0.16 0.83% |
| Symbol | American |
American Financial Price To Book Ratio
Is American Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Financial. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of American Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
American Financial 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to American Financial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of American Financial.
| 11/08/2023 |
| 05/06/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in American Financial on November 8, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding American Financial Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in American Financial over 180 days. American Financial is related to or competes with Maiden Holdings, Reinsurance Group, Entergy Arkansas, Entergy New, and Southern. American Financial Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty insurance products in the Unite... More
American Financial Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure American Financial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess American Financial Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.99 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.61) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.79 |
American Financial Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for American Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as American Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use American Financial historical prices to predict the future American Financial's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.1) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.18) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.03) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Financial Backtested Returns
We consider American Financial very steady. American Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0457, which signifies that the company had a 0.0457% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-four technical indicators for American Financial Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm American Financial's risk adjusted performance of (0), and Mean Deviation of 0.9535 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0628%. American Financial has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.99, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. American Financial returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, American Financial is expected to follow. American Financial right now shows a risk of 1.37%. Please confirm American Financial potential upside, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and accumulation distribution , to decide if American Financial will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.13 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
American Financial Group has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between American Financial time series from 8th of November 2023 to 6th of February 2024 and 6th of February 2024 to 6th of May 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of American Financial price movement. The serial correlation of -0.13 indicates that less than 13.0% of current American Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.13 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.11 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.83 |
American Financial lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is American Financial stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting American Financial's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of American Financial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that American Financial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
American Financial regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If American Financial stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if American Financial stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in American Financial stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
American Financial Lagged Returns
When evaluating American Financial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of American Financial stock have on its future price. American Financial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, American Financial autocorrelation shows the relationship between American Financial stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in American Financial Group.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards American Financial in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, American Financial's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from American Financial options trading.
Pair Trading with American Financial
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if American Financial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in American Financial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with American Stock
| 0.76 | AIZN | Assurant | PairCorr |
Moving against American Stock
| 0.53 | TENKR | TenX Keane Acquisition | PairCorr |
| 0.52 | OSCR | Oscar Health Financial Report 14th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.42 | CETUR | Cetus Capital Acquisition | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to American Financial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace American Financial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back American Financial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling American Financial Group to buy it.
The correlation of American Financial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as American Financial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if American Financial moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for American Financial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out American Financial Correlation, American Financial Volatility and American Financial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on American Financial. Note that the American Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other American Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Complementary Tools for American Stock analysis
When running American Financial's price analysis, check to measure American Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Financial is operating at the current time. Most of American Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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American Financial technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.