Align Technology (Germany) Market Value
| AFW Stock | EUR 165.60 2.80 1.72% |
| Symbol | Align |
Align Technology 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Align Technology's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Align Technology.
| 04/20/2025 |
| 07/19/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Align Technology on April 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Align Technology or generate 0.0% return on investment in Align Technology over 90 days. Align Technology is related to or competes with PATTIES FOODS, Guidewire Software, Alfa Financial, GBS Software, Axway Software, COFCO Joycome, and Lery Seafood. Align Technology, Inc., a medical device company, designs, manufactures, and markets Invisalign clear aligners and iTero... More
Align Technology Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Align Technology's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Align Technology upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.96 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0376 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.44 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.74) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.57 |
Align Technology Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Align Technology's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Align Technology's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Align Technology historical prices to predict the future Align Technology's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0982 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2442 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.11) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0442 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.06) |
Align Technology Backtested Returns
At this point, Align Technology is very steady. Align Technology secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.076, which signifies that the company had a 0.076 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Align Technology, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Align Technology's Downside Deviation of 1.96, risk adjusted performance of 0.0982, and Mean Deviation of 1.72 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%. Align Technology has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.21, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Align Technology are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Align Technology is likely to outperform the market. Align Technology right now shows a risk of 2.33%. Please confirm Align Technology sortino ratio, potential upside, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and maximum drawdown , to decide if Align Technology will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.15 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
Align Technology has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Align Technology time series from 20th of April 2025 to 4th of June 2025 and 4th of June 2025 to 19th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Align Technology price movement. The serial correlation of -0.15 indicates that less than 15.0% of current Align Technology price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.15 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.04 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 32.65 |
Align Technology lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Align Technology stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Align Technology's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Align Technology returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Align Technology has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Align Technology regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Align Technology stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Align Technology stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Align Technology stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Align Technology Lagged Returns
When evaluating Align Technology's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Align Technology stock have on its future price. Align Technology autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Align Technology autocorrelation shows the relationship between Align Technology stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Align Technology.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Align Stock
When determining whether Align Technology offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Align Technology's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Align Technology Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Align Technology Stock:Check out Align Technology Correlation, Align Technology Volatility and Align Technology Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Align Technology. For more detail on how to invest in Align Stock please use our How to Invest in Align Technology guide.You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Align Technology technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.