Airbus SE (Germany) Market Value

AIR Stock   186.30  1.16  0.63%   
Airbus SE's market value is the price at which a share of Airbus SE trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Airbus SE investors about its performance. Airbus SE is selling for under 186.30 as of the 21st of July 2025; that is 0.63 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 185.26.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Airbus SE and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Airbus SE over a given investment horizon. Check out Airbus SE Correlation, Airbus SE Volatility and Airbus SE Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Airbus SE.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Airbus SE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Airbus SE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Airbus SE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Airbus SE 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Airbus SE's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Airbus SE.
0.00
04/22/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
07/21/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Airbus SE on April 22, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Airbus SE or generate 0.0% return on investment in Airbus SE over 90 days. Airbus SE is related to or competes with MELIA HOTELS, DALATA HOTEL, UNIVERSAL MUSIC, BRAEMAR HOTELS, Chesapeake Utilities, UNIVMUSIC GRPADR/050, and HYATT HOTELS. More

Airbus SE Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Airbus SE's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Airbus SE upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Airbus SE Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Airbus SE's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Airbus SE's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Airbus SE historical prices to predict the future Airbus SE's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Airbus SE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
184.74186.30187.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
143.59145.15204.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
183.74185.29186.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
175.23181.87188.52
Details

Airbus SE Backtested Returns

Airbus SE appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Airbus SE secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.35, which signifies that the company had a 0.35 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Airbus SE's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.54% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Airbus SE's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2734, downside deviation of 1.26, and Mean Deviation of 1.24 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Airbus SE holds a performance score of 27. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0097, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Airbus SE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Airbus SE is likely to outperform the market. Please check Airbus SE's treynor ratio, kurtosis, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Airbus SE's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.76  

Good predictability

Airbus SE has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Airbus SE time series from 22nd of April 2025 to 6th of June 2025 and 6th of June 2025 to 21st of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Airbus SE price movement. The serial correlation of 0.76 indicates that around 76.0% of current Airbus SE price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.76
Spearman Rank Test0.88
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance69.93

Airbus SE lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Airbus SE stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Airbus SE's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Airbus SE returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Airbus SE has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Airbus SE regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Airbus SE stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Airbus SE stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Airbus SE stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Airbus SE Lagged Returns

When evaluating Airbus SE's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Airbus SE stock have on its future price. Airbus SE autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Airbus SE autocorrelation shows the relationship between Airbus SE stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Airbus SE.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Airbus Stock Analysis

When running Airbus SE's price analysis, check to measure Airbus SE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Airbus SE is operating at the current time. Most of Airbus SE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Airbus SE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Airbus SE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Airbus SE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.