Alcadon Group (Sweden) Market Value

ALCA Stock  SEK 24.00  0.90  3.90%   
Alcadon Group's market value is the price at which a share of Alcadon Group trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Alcadon Group AB investors about its performance. Alcadon Group is selling for under 24.00 as of the 21st of July 2025; that is 3.90 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 22.9.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Alcadon Group AB and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Alcadon Group over a given investment horizon. Check out Alcadon Group Correlation, Alcadon Group Volatility and Alcadon Group Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Alcadon Group.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Alcadon Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alcadon Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alcadon Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Alcadon Group 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alcadon Group's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alcadon Group.
0.00
04/22/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
07/21/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Alcadon Group on April 22, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alcadon Group AB or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alcadon Group over 90 days. Alcadon Group is related to or competes with DistIT AB, Addnode Group, Avensia Publ, and Acconeer. Alcadon Group AB engages in the data and telecommunications business in Sweden More

Alcadon Group Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alcadon Group's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alcadon Group AB upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Alcadon Group Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alcadon Group's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alcadon Group's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alcadon Group historical prices to predict the future Alcadon Group's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.0624.0026.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.9418.8826.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.0125.9528.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.8124.1425.48
Details

Alcadon Group AB Backtested Returns

Currently, Alcadon Group AB is not too volatile. Alcadon Group AB secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0629, which signifies that the company had a 0.0629 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Alcadon Group AB, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Alcadon Group's risk adjusted performance of 0.0646, and Mean Deviation of 2.19 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%. Alcadon Group has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0833, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Alcadon Group's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Alcadon Group is expected to be smaller as well. Alcadon Group AB right now shows a risk of 2.94%. Please confirm Alcadon Group AB semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to decide if Alcadon Group AB will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.01  

Virtually no predictability

Alcadon Group AB has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alcadon Group time series from 22nd of April 2025 to 6th of June 2025 and 6th of June 2025 to 21st of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alcadon Group AB price movement. The serial correlation of 0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current Alcadon Group price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.01
Spearman Rank Test0.17
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.87

Alcadon Group AB lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Alcadon Group stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Alcadon Group's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Alcadon Group returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Alcadon Group has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Alcadon Group regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Alcadon Group stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Alcadon Group stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Alcadon Group stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Alcadon Group Lagged Returns

When evaluating Alcadon Group's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Alcadon Group stock have on its future price. Alcadon Group autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Alcadon Group autocorrelation shows the relationship between Alcadon Group stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Alcadon Group AB.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Alcadon Stock Analysis

When running Alcadon Group's price analysis, check to measure Alcadon Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alcadon Group is operating at the current time. Most of Alcadon Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alcadon Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alcadon Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alcadon Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.