Alumis Inc Stock Market Value
| ALMS Stock | 27.71 1.71 6.58% |
| Symbol | Alumis |
Is there potential for Biotechnology market expansion? Will Alumis introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alumis. If investors know Alumis will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Alumis listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Alumis Inc's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Alumis's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Alumis' intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since Alumis' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Alumis' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Alumis represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Alumis' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Alumis 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alumis' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alumis.
| 10/31/2025 |
| 01/29/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Alumis on October 31, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alumis Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alumis over 90 days. Alumis is related to or competes with RAPT Therapeutics, Neumora Therapeutics, ADC Therapeutics, Ocugen, Eton Pharmaceuticals, Omeros, and Fulcrum Therapeutics. Alumis is entity of United States. It is traded as Stock on NASDAQ exchange. More
Alumis Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alumis' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alumis Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.94 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2501 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 102.0 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.70) | |||
| Potential Upside | 10.41 |
Alumis Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alumis' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alumis' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alumis historical prices to predict the future Alumis' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1976 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 3.19 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 2.17 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.8263 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.62 |
Alumis January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1976 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.63 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 5.91 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.45 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.94 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 390.87 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 13.01 | |||
| Variance | 169.31 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2501 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 3.19 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 2.17 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.8263 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.62 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 102.0 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.70) | |||
| Potential Upside | 10.41 | |||
| Downside Variance | 15.51 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.01 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (7.68) | |||
| Skewness | 5.76 | |||
| Kurtosis | 39.56 |
Alumis Inc Backtested Returns
Alumis is slightly risky given 3 months investment horizon. Alumis Inc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.27, which signifies that the company had a 0.27 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have collected data for twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 3.61% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Alumis Downside Deviation of 3.94, risk adjusted performance of 0.1976, and Mean Deviation of 5.91 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Alumis holds a performance score of 21 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.05, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Alumis will likely underperform. Use Alumis value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to analyze future returns on Alumis.
Auto-correlation | 0.88 |
Very good predictability
Alumis Inc has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alumis time series from 31st of October 2025 to 15th of December 2025 and 15th of December 2025 to 29th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alumis Inc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.88 indicates that approximately 88.0% of current Alumis price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.88 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.83 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 46.47 |
Thematic Opportunities
Explore Investment Opportunities
Additional Tools for Alumis Stock Analysis
When running Alumis' price analysis, check to measure Alumis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alumis is operating at the current time. Most of Alumis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alumis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alumis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alumis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.