Blue Bird Corp Stock Market Value

BLBD Stock  USD 42.75  0.11  0.26%   
Blue Bird's market value is the price at which a share of Blue Bird trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Blue Bird Corp investors about its performance. Blue Bird is trading at 42.75 as of the 20th of July 2025, a 0.26% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 42.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Blue Bird Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Blue Bird over a given investment horizon. Check out Blue Bird Correlation, Blue Bird Volatility and Blue Bird Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Blue Bird.
Symbol

Blue Bird Corp Price To Book Ratio

Is Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blue Bird. If investors know Blue will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blue Bird listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
3.22
Revenue Per Share
42.116
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.037
Return On Assets
0.166
Return On Equity
0.7303
The market value of Blue Bird Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blue that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blue Bird's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blue Bird's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blue Bird's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blue Bird's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blue Bird's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Blue Bird is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blue Bird's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Blue Bird 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Blue Bird's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Blue Bird.
0.00
04/21/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
07/20/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Blue Bird on April 21, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Blue Bird Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Blue Bird over 90 days. Blue Bird is related to or competes with GreenPower, Niu Technologies, NWTN, Volcon, Bankwell Financial, CSW Industrials,, and Civista Bancshares. Blue Bird Corporation designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells school buses and related parts in the United States, C... More

Blue Bird Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Blue Bird's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Blue Bird Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Blue Bird Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Blue Bird's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Blue Bird's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Blue Bird historical prices to predict the future Blue Bird's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
41.4043.2445.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.4849.2551.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
38.3940.2342.06
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
46.9351.5757.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Blue Bird. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Blue Bird's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Blue Bird's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Blue Bird Corp.

Blue Bird Corp Backtested Returns

Blue Bird appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Blue Bird Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.21, which signifies that the company had a 0.21 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Blue Bird Corp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Blue Bird's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1555, mean deviation of 1.43, and Downside Deviation of 1.84 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Blue Bird holds a performance score of 16. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.05, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Blue Bird returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Blue Bird is expected to follow. Please check Blue Bird's potential upside, skewness, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to make a quick decision on whether Blue Bird's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.86  

Very good predictability

Blue Bird Corp has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Blue Bird time series from 21st of April 2025 to 5th of June 2025 and 5th of June 2025 to 20th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Blue Bird Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.86 indicates that approximately 86.0% of current Blue Bird price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.86
Spearman Rank Test0.63
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.4

Blue Bird Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Blue Bird stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Blue Bird's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Blue Bird returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Blue Bird has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Blue Bird regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Blue Bird stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Blue Bird stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Blue Bird stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Blue Bird Lagged Returns

When evaluating Blue Bird's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Blue Bird stock have on its future price. Blue Bird autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Blue Bird autocorrelation shows the relationship between Blue Bird stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Blue Bird Corp.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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When determining whether Blue Bird Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Blue Bird's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Blue Bird's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Blue Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Blue Bird Correlation, Blue Bird Volatility and Blue Bird Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Blue Bird.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Blue Bird technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Blue Bird technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Blue Bird trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...