China Overseas Land Stock Market Value

CAOVY Stock  USD 8.80  0.26  3.04%   
China Overseas' market value is the price at which a share of China Overseas trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of China Overseas Land investors about its performance. China Overseas is trading at 8.80 as of the 22nd of July 2025; that is 3.04 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 8.54.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of China Overseas Land and determine expected loss or profit from investing in China Overseas over a given investment horizon. Check out China Overseas Correlation, China Overseas Volatility and China Overseas Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on China Overseas.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between China Overseas' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if China Overseas is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, China Overseas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

China Overseas 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to China Overseas' pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of China Overseas.
0.00
04/23/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
07/22/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in China Overseas on April 23, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding China Overseas Land or generate 0.0% return on investment in China Overseas over 90 days. China Overseas is related to or competes with Longfor Properties, Sun Hung, China Resources, Anhui Conch, and China Overseas. China Overseas Land Investment Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development and investmen... More

China Overseas Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure China Overseas' pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess China Overseas Land upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

China Overseas Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for China Overseas' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as China Overseas' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use China Overseas historical prices to predict the future China Overseas' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of China Overseas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.948.8010.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.897.759.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.758.6110.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.138.629.11
Details

China Overseas Land Backtested Returns

China Overseas Land secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0155, which signifies that the company had a -0.0155 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. China Overseas Land exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm China Overseas' Mean Deviation of 1.4, risk adjusted performance of 0.0266, and Downside Deviation of 1.98 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0744, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, China Overseas' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding China Overseas is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, China Overseas Land has a negative expected return of -0.0289%. Please make sure to confirm China Overseas' sortino ratio, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and rate of daily change , to decide if China Overseas Land performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.49  

Modest reverse predictability

China Overseas Land has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between China Overseas time series from 23rd of April 2025 to 7th of June 2025 and 7th of June 2025 to 22nd of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of China Overseas Land price movement. The serial correlation of -0.49 indicates that about 49.0% of current China Overseas price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.49
Spearman Rank Test-0.24
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.06

China Overseas Land lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is China Overseas pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting China Overseas' pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of China Overseas returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that China Overseas has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

China Overseas regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If China Overseas pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if China Overseas pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in China Overseas pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

China Overseas Lagged Returns

When evaluating China Overseas' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of China Overseas pink sheet have on its future price. China Overseas autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, China Overseas autocorrelation shows the relationship between China Overseas pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in China Overseas Land.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for China Pink Sheet Analysis

When running China Overseas' price analysis, check to measure China Overseas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Overseas is operating at the current time. Most of China Overseas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Overseas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Overseas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Overseas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.