CSPC PHARMACEUTGR (Germany) Market Value
| CVGU Stock | EUR 3.50 0.12 3.31% |
| Symbol | CSPC |
CSPC PHARMACEUTGR 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to CSPC PHARMACEUTGR's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of CSPC PHARMACEUTGR.
| 04/24/2025 |
| 07/23/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in CSPC PHARMACEUTGR on April 24, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CSPC PHARMACEUTGR ADR4 or generate 0.0% return on investment in CSPC PHARMACEUTGR over 90 days. CSPC PHARMACEUTGR is related to or competes with Chalice Mining, Comba Telecom, SMA Solar, UNIVERSAL DISPLAY, MCEWEN MINING, Vishay Intertechnology, and Universal Display. CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the research and development, manufacture, ... More
CSPC PHARMACEUTGR Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure CSPC PHARMACEUTGR's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CSPC PHARMACEUTGR ADR4 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 6.07 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0872 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 25.93 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.33) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.64 |
CSPC PHARMACEUTGR Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for CSPC PHARMACEUTGR's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as CSPC PHARMACEUTGR's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use CSPC PHARMACEUTGR historical prices to predict the future CSPC PHARMACEUTGR's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1256 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5602 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.49) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0692 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.96 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CSPC PHARMACEUTGR's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CSPC PHARMACEUTGR ADR4 Backtested Returns
CSPC PHARMACEUTGR appears to be very risky, given 3 months investment horizon. CSPC PHARMACEUTGR ADR4 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.13, which signifies that the company had a 0.13 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing CSPC PHARMACEUTGR's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.64% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of CSPC PHARMACEUTGR's mean deviation of 3.41, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1256 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, CSPC PHARMACEUTGR holds a performance score of 10. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.32, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, CSPC PHARMACEUTGR's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding CSPC PHARMACEUTGR is expected to be smaller as well. Please check CSPC PHARMACEUTGR's total risk alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and sortino ratio , to make a quick decision on whether CSPC PHARMACEUTGR's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.18 |
Very weak predictability
CSPC PHARMACEUTGR ADR4 has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between CSPC PHARMACEUTGR time series from 24th of April 2025 to 8th of June 2025 and 8th of June 2025 to 23rd of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CSPC PHARMACEUTGR ADR4 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.18 indicates that over 18.0% of current CSPC PHARMACEUTGR price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.18 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.13 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.08 |
CSPC PHARMACEUTGR ADR4 lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is CSPC PHARMACEUTGR stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting CSPC PHARMACEUTGR's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of CSPC PHARMACEUTGR returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that CSPC PHARMACEUTGR has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
CSPC PHARMACEUTGR regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If CSPC PHARMACEUTGR stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if CSPC PHARMACEUTGR stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in CSPC PHARMACEUTGR stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
CSPC PHARMACEUTGR Lagged Returns
When evaluating CSPC PHARMACEUTGR's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of CSPC PHARMACEUTGR stock have on its future price. CSPC PHARMACEUTGR autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, CSPC PHARMACEUTGR autocorrelation shows the relationship between CSPC PHARMACEUTGR stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CSPC PHARMACEUTGR ADR4.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Other Information on Investing in CSPC Stock
CSPC PHARMACEUTGR financial ratios help investors to determine whether CSPC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CSPC with respect to the benefits of owning CSPC PHARMACEUTGR security.