Dreyfus Amt Free Municipal Fund Market Value

DMUAX Fund  USD 12.76  0.03  0.24%   
Dreyfus Amt-free's market value is the price at which a share of Dreyfus Amt-free trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Dreyfus Amt Free Municipal investors about its performance. Dreyfus Amt-free is trading at 12.91 as of the 23rd of July 2025; that is 0.24% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 12.73.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Dreyfus Amt Free Municipal and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Dreyfus Amt-free over a given investment horizon. Check out Dreyfus Amt-free Correlation, Dreyfus Amt-free Volatility and Dreyfus Amt-free Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dreyfus Amt-free.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Dreyfus Amt-free's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dreyfus Amt-free is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dreyfus Amt-free's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Dreyfus Amt-free 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dreyfus Amt-free's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dreyfus Amt-free.
0.00
04/24/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
07/23/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Dreyfus Amt-free on April 24, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dreyfus Amt Free Municipal or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dreyfus Amt-free over 90 days. Dreyfus Amt-free is related to or competes with Jpmorgan Diversified, Wells Fargo, Lord Abbett, Aqr Diversified, Tax Free, and Voya Solution. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in municipal bonds that provide income exempt from the f... More

Dreyfus Amt-free Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dreyfus Amt-free's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dreyfus Amt Free Municipal upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Dreyfus Amt-free Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dreyfus Amt-free's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dreyfus Amt-free's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dreyfus Amt-free historical prices to predict the future Dreyfus Amt-free's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.5212.7312.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.2912.5014.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.4612.6612.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.3612.8314.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dreyfus Amt-free. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dreyfus Amt-free's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dreyfus Amt-free's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dreyfus Amt Free.

Dreyfus Amt Free Backtested Returns

Dreyfus Amt Free secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0117, which denotes the fund had a -0.0117 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Dreyfus Amt Free Municipal exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Dreyfus Amt-free's Coefficient Of Variation of (8,540), standard deviation of 0.1993, and Mean Deviation of 0.1411 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0312, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Dreyfus Amt-free's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Dreyfus Amt-free is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.37  

Below average predictability

Dreyfus Amt Free Municipal has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dreyfus Amt-free time series from 24th of April 2025 to 8th of June 2025 and 8th of June 2025 to 23rd of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dreyfus Amt Free price movement. The serial correlation of 0.37 indicates that just about 37.0% of current Dreyfus Amt-free price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.37
Spearman Rank Test-0.33
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Dreyfus Amt Free lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Dreyfus Amt-free mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dreyfus Amt-free's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dreyfus Amt-free returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dreyfus Amt-free has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Dreyfus Amt-free regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dreyfus Amt-free mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dreyfus Amt-free mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dreyfus Amt-free mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Dreyfus Amt-free Lagged Returns

When evaluating Dreyfus Amt-free's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dreyfus Amt-free mutual fund have on its future price. Dreyfus Amt-free autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dreyfus Amt-free autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dreyfus Amt-free mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dreyfus Amt Free Municipal.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Dreyfus Mutual Fund

Dreyfus Amt-free financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dreyfus Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dreyfus with respect to the benefits of owning Dreyfus Amt-free security.
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